Incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum holds a trader consensus edge at 56.5% implied probability in the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, buoyed by incumbency advantages in the industrial hub and recent multi-candidate polls showing him ahead, such as the May 7 KBS/Ulsan Maeil survey with 37.1% to Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook's 32.9%. Progressive vote fragmentation across five candidates—including Rebuilding Korea's Hwang Myeong-pil and the Progressive Party's entry—has hindered Sang-wook's momentum despite his calls for unity on May 13. Intensifying attacks, with PPP highlighting Sang-wook's past party switch and alleged sex offender defenses countered by Democrats, underscore the razor-thin battleground dynamics ahead of candidate registration and final campaigning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kim Doo-kyum 56%
Kim Sang-wook 44%
金钟勋 7.3%
朴孟佑 <1%
$27,952 交易量
$27,952 交易量
2026-06-03
Kim Doo-kyum
56%
Kim Sang-wook
44%
金钟勋
13%
朴孟佑
<1%
Kim Doo-kyum 56%
Kim Sang-wook 44%
金钟勋 7.3%
朴孟佑 <1%
$27,952 交易量
$27,952 交易量
2026-06-03
Kim Doo-kyum
$13,957 交易量
56%
Kim Sang-wook
$12,252 交易量
44%
金钟勋
$1,968 交易量
13%
朴孟佑
$225 交易量
<1%
The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum holds a trader consensus edge at 56.5% implied probability in the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, buoyed by incumbency advantages in the industrial hub and recent multi-candidate polls showing him ahead, such as the May 7 KBS/Ulsan Maeil survey with 37.1% to Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook's 32.9%. Progressive vote fragmentation across five candidates—including Rebuilding Korea's Hwang Myeong-pil and the Progressive Party's entry—has hindered Sang-wook's momentum despite his calls for unity on May 13. Intensifying attacks, with PPP highlighting Sang-wook's past party switch and alleged sex offender defenses countered by Democrats, underscore the razor-thin battleground dynamics ahead of candidate registration and final campaigning.
The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$27,952结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum holds a trader consensus edge at 56.5% implied probability in the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, buoyed by incumbency advantages in the industrial hub and recent multi-candidate polls showing him ahead, such as the May 7 KBS/Ulsan Maeil survey with 37.1% to Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook's 32.9%. Progressive vote fragmentation across five candidates—including Rebuilding Korea's Hwang Myeong-pil and the Progressive Party's entry—has hindered Sang-wook's momentum despite his calls for unity on May 13. Intensifying attacks, with PPP highlighting Sang-wook's past party switch and alleged sex offender defenses countered by Democrats, underscore the razor-thin battleground dynamics ahead of candidate registration and final campaigning.
The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
交易量
$27,952结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum holds a trader consensus edge at 56.5% implied probability in the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, buoyed by incumbency advantages in the industrial hub and recent multi-candidate polls showing him ahead, such as the May 7 KBS/Ulsan Maeil survey with 37.1% to Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook's 32.9%. Progressive vote fragmentation across five candidates—including Rebuilding Korea's Hwang Myeong-pil and the Progressive Party's entry—has hindered Sang-wook's momentum despite his calls for unity on May 13. Intensifying attacks, with PPP highlighting Sang-wook's past party switch and alleged sex offender defenses countered by Democrats, underscore the razor-thin battleground dynamics ahead of candidate registration and final campaigning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题