**Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen dominates the NY-04 Democratic primary odds at 81.5% trader consensus, bolstered by her name recognition, fundraising edge, and recent disqualifications of two challengers from the June 23 ballot, announced April 23.** This development, following former Assemblywoman Taylor Darling's February entry criticizing Gillen's January ICE funding vote, has solidified Gillen's path despite progressive pushback. Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% as the perceived strongest remaining contender amid scant polling, while Taylor Darling (3.4%) and Gian Jones (0.4%) lag with limited resources. Absent late-breaking endorsements or scandals, incumbency advantages and weak opposition sustain her lead in this Long Island battleground ahead of the primary.**
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于劳拉·吉伦 82%
尼古拉斯·斯基雷塔 14%
泰勒·达林 3.5%
吉安·琼斯 <1%
$18,621 交易量
$18,621 交易量
2026-06-23
劳拉·吉伦
82%
尼古拉斯·斯基雷塔
14%
泰勒·达林
4%
吉安·琼斯
<1%
劳拉·吉伦 82%
尼古拉斯·斯基雷塔 14%
泰勒·达林 3.5%
吉安·琼斯 <1%
$18,621 交易量
$18,621 交易量
2026-06-23
劳拉·吉伦
$6,213 交易量
82%
尼古拉斯·斯基雷塔
$8,666 交易量
14%
泰勒·达林
$2,106 交易量
4%
吉安·琼斯
$1,636 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen dominates the NY-04 Democratic primary odds at 81.5% trader consensus, bolstered by her name recognition, fundraising edge, and recent disqualifications of two challengers from the June 23 ballot, announced April 23.** This development, following former Assemblywoman Taylor Darling's February entry criticizing Gillen's January ICE funding vote, has solidified Gillen's path despite progressive pushback. Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% as the perceived strongest remaining contender amid scant polling, while Taylor Darling (3.4%) and Gian Jones (0.4%) lag with limited resources. Absent late-breaking endorsements or scandals, incumbency advantages and weak opposition sustain her lead in this Long Island battleground ahead of the primary.**
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
交易量
$18,621结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen dominates the NY-04 Democratic primary odds at 81.5% trader consensus, bolstered by her name recognition, fundraising edge, and recent disqualifications of two challengers from the June 23 ballot, announced April 23.** This development, following former Assemblywoman Taylor Darling's February entry criticizing Gillen's January ICE funding vote, has solidified Gillen's path despite progressive pushback. Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% as the perceived strongest remaining contender amid scant polling, while Taylor Darling (3.4%) and Gian Jones (0.4%) lag with limited resources. Absent late-breaking endorsements or scandals, incumbency advantages and weak opposition sustain her lead in this Long Island battleground ahead of the primary.**
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$18,621结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen dominates the NY-04 Democratic primary odds at 81.5% trader consensus, bolstered by her name recognition, fundraising edge, and recent disqualifications of two challengers from the June 23 ballot, announced April 23.** This development, following former Assemblywoman Taylor Darling's February entry criticizing Gillen's January ICE funding vote, has solidified Gillen's path despite progressive pushback. Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% as the perceived strongest remaining contender amid scant polling, while Taylor Darling (3.4%) and Gian Jones (0.4%) lag with limited resources. Absent late-breaking endorsements or scandals, incumbency advantages and weak opposition sustain her lead in this Long Island battleground ahead of the primary.**
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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