Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 16, driving trader consensus to 50.5% implied probability on that outcome, with nearby 18°C and 20°C also prominent. Persistent cloud cover over the past 24-48 hours has trapped heat, elevating recent nighttime lows to around 20°C despite mid-May climatological averages of 17°C; however, subtle model shifts toward drier air and lighter southerly winds suggest a modest dip. Observational data from Shanghai stations confirms current mild conditions under overcast skies, with highs expected near 27°C. New CMA updates this afternoon could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 16 de mayo?
18°C 21%
20°C 19%
17°C 4.0%
16°C <1%
$14,451 Vol.
$14,451 Vol.
16 may 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
21%
19°C
56%
20°C
19%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
18°C 21%
20°C 19%
17°C 4.0%
16°C <1%
$14,451 Vol.
$14,451 Vol.
16 may 2026
14°C o menos
$2,980 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,933 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$907 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,632 Vol.
7%
18°C
$280 Vol.
21%
19°C
$167 Vol.
56%
20°C
$212 Vol.
19%
21°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$615 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$3,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 16, driving trader consensus to 50.5% implied probability on that outcome, with nearby 18°C and 20°C also prominent. Persistent cloud cover over the past 24-48 hours has trapped heat, elevating recent nighttime lows to around 20°C despite mid-May climatological averages of 17°C; however, subtle model shifts toward drier air and lighter southerly winds suggest a modest dip. Observational data from Shanghai stations confirms current mild conditions under overcast skies, with highs expected near 27°C. New CMA updates this afternoon could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$14,451Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 16, driving trader consensus to 50.5% implied probability on that outcome, with nearby 18°C and 20°C also prominent. Persistent cloud cover over the past 24-48 hours has trapped heat, elevating recent nighttime lows to around 20°C despite mid-May climatological averages of 17°C; however, subtle model shifts toward drier air and lighter southerly winds suggest a modest dip. Observational data from Shanghai stations confirms current mild conditions under overcast skies, with highs expected near 27°C. New CMA updates this afternoon could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,451Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 16, driving trader consensus to 50.5% implied probability on that outcome, with nearby 18°C and 20°C also prominent. Persistent cloud cover over the past 24-48 hours has trapped heat, elevating recent nighttime lows to around 20°C despite mid-May climatological averages of 17°C; however, subtle model shifts toward drier air and lighter southerly winds suggest a modest dip. Observational data from Shanghai stations confirms current mild conditions under overcast skies, with highs expected near 27°C. New CMA updates this afternoon could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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