Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.8% consensus price, due to his high name recognition after multiple terms as Rio mayor, established PSD party infrastructure, and consistent polling advantages of 40-plus points over declared rivals such as Douglas Ruas and Anthony Garotinho. Paes resigned his mayoral post in March 2026 to campaign full-time, consolidating moderate and center-right support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. While the frontrunner position appears stable, factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, late campaign alliances, or unforeseen developments in the remaining weeks before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro
Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro
Eduardo Paes 96.8%
Douglas Ruas 1.6%
Rafa Luz <1%
Lindbergh Farias <1%
$322,483 Vol.
$322,483 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Paes
97%
Douglas Ruas
2%
Rafa Luz
1%
Lindbergh Farias
<1%
Coronel Busnello
<1%
Anthony Garotinho
<1%
Felipe Curi
<1%
Chico Machado
<1%
Fred Pacheco
<1%
Wilson Witzel
<1%
André Ceciliano
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
<1%
Tarcísio Motta
<1%
Eduardo Pazuello
<1%
Nicola Miccione
<1%
André Português
<1%
Eduardo Paes 96.8%
Douglas Ruas 1.6%
Rafa Luz <1%
Lindbergh Farias <1%
$322,483 Vol.
$322,483 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Paes
$45,888 Vol.
97%
Douglas Ruas
$13,030 Vol.
2%
Rafa Luz
$6,672 Vol.
1%
Lindbergh Farias
$10,049 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Busnello
$10,134 Vol.
<1%
Anthony Garotinho
$14,618 Vol.
<1%
Felipe Curi
$19,051 Vol.
<1%
Chico Machado
$9,843 Vol.
<1%
Fred Pacheco
$134,487 Vol.
<1%
Wilson Witzel
$12,807 Vol.
<1%
André Ceciliano
$12,315 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
$10,219 Vol.
<1%
Tarcísio Motta
$11,578 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Pazuello
$2,717 Vol.
<1%
Nicola Miccione
$5,387 Vol.
<1%
André Português
$3,688 Vol.
<1%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.8% consensus price, due to his high name recognition after multiple terms as Rio mayor, established PSD party infrastructure, and consistent polling advantages of 40-plus points over declared rivals such as Douglas Ruas and Anthony Garotinho. Paes resigned his mayoral post in March 2026 to campaign full-time, consolidating moderate and center-right support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. While the frontrunner position appears stable, factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, late campaign alliances, or unforeseen developments in the remaining weeks before ballots are cast.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volumen
$322,483Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.8% consensus price, due to his high name recognition after multiple terms as Rio mayor, established PSD party infrastructure, and consistent polling advantages of 40-plus points over declared rivals such as Douglas Ruas and Anthony Garotinho. Paes resigned his mayoral post in March 2026 to campaign full-time, consolidating moderate and center-right support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. While the frontrunner position appears stable, factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, late campaign alliances, or unforeseen developments in the remaining weeks before ballots are cast.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$322,483Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.8% consensus price, due to his high name recognition after multiple terms as Rio mayor, established PSD party infrastructure, and consistent polling advantages of 40-plus points over declared rivals such as Douglas Ruas and Anthony Garotinho. Paes resigned his mayoral post in March 2026 to campaign full-time, consolidating moderate and center-right support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. While the frontrunner position appears stable, factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, late campaign alliances, or unforeseen developments in the remaining weeks before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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