Recent AI demand surges and persistent supply constraints from HBM memory shortages plus TSMC CoWoS limits have driven a roughly 22% monthly rise in some H100 on-demand rates, with neocloud providers like Vessl AI lifting prices toward $3 while median on-demand sits near $3.35 across dozens of platforms. Spot and community marketplaces remain far cheaper at $0.94–$2, reflecting abundant interruptible capacity, whereas hyperscalers command premiums above $6–$12. The closely matched $2.50–$3.00 outcomes capture this split between tightening committed supply, Blackwell production shifts that may ease or tighten Hopper availability, and neocloud competition capping broader increases ahead of month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.75-$3.00 27%
$3.00-$3.25 16.4%
$3.25+ 13.6%
$44,041 Vol.
$44,041 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$2.25
4%
$2.25-$2.50
13%
$2.50-$2.75
31%
$2.75-$3.00
27%
$3.00-$3.25
16%
$3.25+
14%
$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.75-$3.00 27%
$3.00-$3.25 16.4%
$3.25+ 13.6%
$44,041 Vol.
$44,041 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$2.25
$2,037 Vol.
4%
$2.25-$2.50
$4,775 Vol.
13%
$2.50-$2.75
$14,581 Vol.
31%
$2.75-$3.00
$11,223 Vol.
27%
$3.00-$3.25
$6,130 Vol.
16%
$3.25+
$5,295 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Recent AI demand surges and persistent supply constraints from HBM memory shortages plus TSMC CoWoS limits have driven a roughly 22% monthly rise in some H100 on-demand rates, with neocloud providers like Vessl AI lifting prices toward $3 while median on-demand sits near $3.35 across dozens of platforms. Spot and community marketplaces remain far cheaper at $0.94–$2, reflecting abundant interruptible capacity, whereas hyperscalers command premiums above $6–$12. The closely matched $2.50–$3.00 outcomes capture this split between tightening committed supply, Blackwell production shifts that may ease or tighten Hopper availability, and neocloud competition capping broader increases ahead of month-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$44,041End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Recent AI demand surges and persistent supply constraints from HBM memory shortages plus TSMC CoWoS limits have driven a roughly 22% monthly rise in some H100 on-demand rates, with neocloud providers like Vessl AI lifting prices toward $3 while median on-demand sits near $3.35 across dozens of platforms. Spot and community marketplaces remain far cheaper at $0.94–$2, reflecting abundant interruptible capacity, whereas hyperscalers command premiums above $6–$12. The closely matched $2.50–$3.00 outcomes capture this split between tightening committed supply, Blackwell production shifts that may ease or tighten Hopper availability, and neocloud competition capping broader increases ahead of month-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$44,041End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AI demand surges and persistent supply constraints from HBM memory shortages plus TSMC CoWoS limits have driven a roughly 22% monthly rise in some H100 on-demand rates, with neocloud providers like Vessl AI lifting prices toward $3 while median on-demand sits near $3.35 across dozens of platforms. Spot and community marketplaces remain far cheaper at $0.94–$2, reflecting abundant interruptible capacity, whereas hyperscalers command premiums above $6–$12. The closely matched $2.50–$3.00 outcomes capture this split between tightening committed supply, Blackwell production shifts that may ease or tighten Hopper availability, and neocloud competition capping broader increases ahead of month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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