Recent transaction data from the Ornn Compute Price Index, settling at $5.07 per GPU-hour on September 21 with a recent 7-day gain of over 10%, anchors trader expectations for H200 rental rates near or above $5.50 by late October. Persistent demand for the Hopper H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference workloads, combined with HBM3e packaging bottlenecks limiting supply, has kept neocloud medians around $4.40–$5.07 despite cheaper spot listings. Broader on-demand medians remain flat near $4.44 over 90 days, yet upward pressure from AI scaling and limited Blackwell substitution in the near term supports the market’s leading outcomes. Key near-term catalysts include continued LLM deployments and any acceleration in next-generation capacity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5.50+ 43.1%
$5.00-$5.50 24%
$4.50-$5.00 19%
$4.00-$4.50 15%
$19,716 Vol.
$19,716 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<$3.50
4%
$3.50-$4.00
3%
$4.00-$4.50
15%
$4.50-$5.00
19%
$5.00-$5.50
24%
$5.50+
43%
$5.50+ 43.1%
$5.00-$5.50 24%
$4.50-$5.00 19%
$4.00-$4.50 15%
$19,716 Vol.
$19,716 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<$3.50
$883 Vol.
4%
$3.50-$4.00
$836 Vol.
3%
$4.00-$4.50
$7,525 Vol.
15%
$4.50-$5.00
$7,031 Vol.
19%
$5.00-$5.50
$1,536 Vol.
24%
$5.50+
$1,906 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Recent transaction data from the Ornn Compute Price Index, settling at $5.07 per GPU-hour on September 21 with a recent 7-day gain of over 10%, anchors trader expectations for H200 rental rates near or above $5.50 by late October. Persistent demand for the Hopper H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference workloads, combined with HBM3e packaging bottlenecks limiting supply, has kept neocloud medians around $4.40–$5.07 despite cheaper spot listings. Broader on-demand medians remain flat near $4.44 over 90 days, yet upward pressure from AI scaling and limited Blackwell substitution in the near term supports the market’s leading outcomes. Key near-term catalysts include continued LLM deployments and any acceleration in next-generation capacity.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Volume
$19,716End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Recent transaction data from the Ornn Compute Price Index, settling at $5.07 per GPU-hour on September 21 with a recent 7-day gain of over 10%, anchors trader expectations for H200 rental rates near or above $5.50 by late October. Persistent demand for the Hopper H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference workloads, combined with HBM3e packaging bottlenecks limiting supply, has kept neocloud medians around $4.40–$5.07 despite cheaper spot listings. Broader on-demand medians remain flat near $4.44 over 90 days, yet upward pressure from AI scaling and limited Blackwell substitution in the near term supports the market’s leading outcomes. Key near-term catalysts include continued LLM deployments and any acceleration in next-generation capacity.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$19,716End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent transaction data from the Ornn Compute Price Index, settling at $5.07 per GPU-hour on September 21 with a recent 7-day gain of over 10%, anchors trader expectations for H200 rental rates near or above $5.50 by late October. Persistent demand for the Hopper H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference workloads, combined with HBM3e packaging bottlenecks limiting supply, has kept neocloud medians around $4.40–$5.07 despite cheaper spot listings. Broader on-demand medians remain flat near $4.44 over 90 days, yet upward pressure from AI scaling and limited Blackwell substitution in the near term supports the market’s leading outcomes. Key near-term catalysts include continued LLM deployments and any acceleration in next-generation capacity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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