A strengthening high-pressure dome over the Southeast has driven Atlanta's forecast high into the mid- to upper-90s on August 16, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus centering near 95–97°F under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal afternoon thunderstorm activity that limits evaporative cooling. Daytime solar heating combined with elevated dew points pushing heat indices above 100°F favors the market's leading 96–97°F bin at 62.5% implied probability, while seasonal norms around 88–90°F and the low odds on 98°F+ reflect the narrow window for additional intensification before any steering flow or moisture return arrives. Updated model runs and the ongoing heat advisory underscore this positioning ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 16?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 16?
96-97°F 61%
94-95°F 21%
98-99°F 15%
92-93°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
61%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 61%
94-95°F 21%
98-99°F 15%
92-93°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
89°F or below
$680 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$359 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$284 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$485 Vol.
21%
96-97°F
$1,253 Vol.
61%
98-99°F
$287 Vol.
15%
100-101°F
$226 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$76 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$181 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$685 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening high-pressure dome over the Southeast has driven Atlanta's forecast high into the mid- to upper-90s on August 16, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus centering near 95–97°F under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal afternoon thunderstorm activity that limits evaporative cooling. Daytime solar heating combined with elevated dew points pushing heat indices above 100°F favors the market's leading 96–97°F bin at 62.5% implied probability, while seasonal norms around 88–90°F and the low odds on 98°F+ reflect the narrow window for additional intensification before any steering flow or moisture return arrives. Updated model runs and the ongoing heat advisory underscore this positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$5,569End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening high-pressure dome over the Southeast has driven Atlanta's forecast high into the mid- to upper-90s on August 16, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus centering near 95–97°F under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal afternoon thunderstorm activity that limits evaporative cooling. Daytime solar heating combined with elevated dew points pushing heat indices above 100°F favors the market's leading 96–97°F bin at 62.5% implied probability, while seasonal norms around 88–90°F and the low odds on 98°F+ reflect the narrow window for additional intensification before any steering flow or moisture return arrives. Updated model runs and the ongoing heat advisory underscore this positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,569End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strengthening high-pressure dome over the Southeast has driven Atlanta's forecast high into the mid- to upper-90s on August 16, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus centering near 95–97°F under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal afternoon thunderstorm activity that limits evaporative cooling. Daytime solar heating combined with elevated dew points pushing heat indices above 100°F favors the market's leading 96–97°F bin at 62.5% implied probability, while seasonal norms around 88–90°F and the low odds on 98°F+ reflect the narrow window for additional intensification before any steering flow or moisture return arrives. Updated model runs and the ongoing heat advisory underscore this positioning ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions