Persistent hot, sunny conditions under a typical mid-summer ridge and light southerly flow drove the market's 100% consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on August 4, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus slightly above the long-term August average of 96-98°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations confirmed readings in this narrow range amid continued above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include any last-minute convective development or station-specific measurement variance that could shift the official daily maximum by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 4?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 4?
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,698 Vol.
$31,698 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,698 Vol.
$31,698 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
89°F or below
$539 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$1,072 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$1,496 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$1,976 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$5,319 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$6,738 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$8,805 Vol.
Yes
102-103°F
$3,309 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$1,225 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$670 Vol.
No
108°F or higher
$551 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot, sunny conditions under a typical mid-summer ridge and light southerly flow drove the market's 100% consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on August 4, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus slightly above the long-term August average of 96-98°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations confirmed readings in this narrow range amid continued above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include any last-minute convective development or station-specific measurement variance that could shift the official daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$31,698End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot, sunny conditions under a typical mid-summer ridge and light southerly flow drove the market's 100% consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on August 4, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus slightly above the long-term August average of 96-98°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations confirmed readings in this narrow range amid continued above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include any last-minute convective development or station-specific measurement variance that could shift the official daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,698End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Persistent hot, sunny conditions under a typical mid-summer ridge and light southerly flow drove the market's 100% consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on August 4, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus slightly above the long-term August average of 96-98°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations confirmed readings in this narrow range amid continued above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include any last-minute convective development or station-specific measurement variance that could shift the official daily maximum by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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