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icon for Highest temperature in Houston on August 5?

Highest temperature in Houston on August 5?

icon for Highest temperature in Houston on August 5?

Highest temperature in Houston on August 5?

Aug 5

Aug 6

Aug 5

Aug 6

96-97°F 56%

94-95°F 35%

98-99°F 10%

92-93°F 4%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,736 Vol.

96-97°F 56%

94-95°F 35%

98-99°F 10%

92-93°F 4%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,736 Vol.

87°F or below

$829 Vol.

<1%

88-89°F

$456 Vol.

<1%

90-91°F

$646 Vol.

1%

92-93°F

$643 Vol.

4%

94-95°F

$2,496 Vol.

35%

96-97°F

$3,411 Vol.

56%

98-99°F

$1,276 Vol.

10%

100-101°F

$625 Vol.

1%

102-103°F

$485 Vol.

<1%

104-105°F

$451 Vol.

<1%

106°F or higher

$417 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Houston on August 5, 2026, with model consensus favoring 96–97 °F amid persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and elevated Gulf moisture. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 94 °F, but current surface observations and short-range model runs indicate slightly above-normal warmth before any afternoon convective development. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 94–97 °F reflects this forecast stability, while the low probability assigned to 98 °F or higher accounts for the modest risk that reduced cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze effects could push readings marginally higher before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,736
End Date
Aug 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Houston on August 5, 2026, with model consensus favoring 96–97 °F amid persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and elevated Gulf moisture. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 94 °F, but current surface observations and short-range model runs indicate slightly above-normal warmth before any afternoon convective development. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 94–97 °F reflects this forecast stability, while the low probability assigned to 98 °F or higher accounts for the modest risk that reduced cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze effects could push readings marginally higher before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,736
End Date
Aug 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Houston on August 5?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "96-97°F" at 56%, followed by "94-95°F" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Houston on August 5?" has generated $11.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Houston on August 5?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Houston on August 5?" is "96-97°F" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "94-95°F" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Houston on August 5?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.