Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 5 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or scattered showers and light easterly winds. These conditions suppress solar heating compared with clearer winter days, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 16°C (59% implied probability) followed by 15°C (26.5%) and 17°C (16%). Long-term August climatology shows average highs around 17°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the current pattern have lowered the expected peak by 1–2°C relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and morning observations will determine whether the high reaches the upper end of the narrow 15–17°C range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
16°C 60%
15°C 26%
17°C 16%
14°C 1.0%
NEW
$19,056 Vol.
NEW
$19,056 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
26%
16°C
60%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 60%
15°C 26%
17°C 16%
14°C 1.0%
NEW
$19,056 Vol.
NEW
$19,056 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
11°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$918 Vol.
1%
15°C
$3,324 Vol.
26%
16°C
$6,759 Vol.
60%
17°C
$3,255 Vol.
16%
18°C
$1,419 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,066 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$298 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 5 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or scattered showers and light easterly winds. These conditions suppress solar heating compared with clearer winter days, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 16°C (59% implied probability) followed by 15°C (26.5%) and 17°C (16%). Long-term August climatology shows average highs around 17°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the current pattern have lowered the expected peak by 1–2°C relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and morning observations will determine whether the high reaches the upper end of the narrow 15–17°C range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$19,056End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 5 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or scattered showers and light easterly winds. These conditions suppress solar heating compared with clearer winter days, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 16°C (59% implied probability) followed by 15°C (26.5%) and 17°C (16%). Long-term August climatology shows average highs around 17°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the current pattern have lowered the expected peak by 1–2°C relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and morning observations will determine whether the high reaches the upper end of the narrow 15–17°C range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,056End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 5 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or scattered showers and light easterly winds. These conditions suppress solar heating compared with clearer winter days, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 16°C (59% implied probability) followed by 15°C (26.5%) and 17°C (16%). Long-term August climatology shows average highs around 17°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the current pattern have lowered the expected peak by 1–2°C relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and morning observations will determine whether the high reaches the upper end of the narrow 15–17°C range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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