Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C for Busan on August 13 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–90%, aligning closely with seasonal averages of 29–31°C highs for mid-August. This consensus, backed by short-range model runs and current observations of 26–28°C morning readings, drives the overwhelming market-implied probability on 32°C as the precise peak. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions from afternoon cloud buildup, localized sea-breeze effects, or slight measurement variations at official stations that could shift the recorded high to 31°C or 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 13?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,086 Vol.
$34,086 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,086 Vol.
$34,086 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$394 Vol.
No
27°C
$339 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,389 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,099 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,244 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,125 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,751 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$6,578 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,642 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,318 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,207 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C for Busan on August 13 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–90%, aligning closely with seasonal averages of 29–31°C highs for mid-August. This consensus, backed by short-range model runs and current observations of 26–28°C morning readings, drives the overwhelming market-implied probability on 32°C as the precise peak. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions from afternoon cloud buildup, localized sea-breeze effects, or slight measurement variations at official stations that could shift the recorded high to 31°C or 33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$34,086End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C for Busan on August 13 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–90%, aligning closely with seasonal averages of 29–31°C highs for mid-August. This consensus, backed by short-range model runs and current observations of 26–28°C morning readings, drives the overwhelming market-implied probability on 32°C as the precise peak. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions from afternoon cloud buildup, localized sea-breeze effects, or slight measurement variations at official stations that could shift the recorded high to 31°C or 33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,086End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C for Busan on August 13 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–90%, aligning closely with seasonal averages of 29–31°C highs for mid-August. This consensus, backed by short-range model runs and current observations of 26–28°C morning readings, drives the overwhelming market-implied probability on 32°C as the precise peak. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions from afternoon cloud buildup, localized sea-breeze effects, or slight measurement variations at official stations that could shift the recorded high to 31°C or 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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