Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models indicate a warming trend into September 6 under clear skies and lightening winds, supporting the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of the shift from moderate southeasterly flow to calmer southerly or easterly conditions, which affects boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation, along with minor variations in surface pressure and dewpoint that influence afternoon heating rates. September climatology typically features highs near 18–20°C, but the current stable anticyclonic pattern favors above-average warmth. Updated ensemble runs and observational data from the South African Weather Service will provide the next refinements ahead of the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
26°C 29%
27°C 26%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
14%
26°C
29%
27°C
26%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 29%
27°C 26%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$91 Vol.
2%
24°C
$388 Vol.
8%
25°C
$333 Vol.
14%
26°C
$76 Vol.
29%
27°C
$830 Vol.
26%
28°C
$150 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$6 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models indicate a warming trend into September 6 under clear skies and lightening winds, supporting the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of the shift from moderate southeasterly flow to calmer southerly or easterly conditions, which affects boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation, along with minor variations in surface pressure and dewpoint that influence afternoon heating rates. September climatology typically features highs near 18–20°C, but the current stable anticyclonic pattern favors above-average warmth. Updated ensemble runs and observational data from the South African Weather Service will provide the next refinements ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,039End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models indicate a warming trend into September 6 under clear skies and lightening winds, supporting the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of the shift from moderate southeasterly flow to calmer southerly or easterly conditions, which affects boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation, along with minor variations in surface pressure and dewpoint that influence afternoon heating rates. September climatology typically features highs near 18–20°C, but the current stable anticyclonic pattern favors above-average warmth. Updated ensemble runs and observational data from the South African Weather Service will provide the next refinements ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,039End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models indicate a warming trend into September 6 under clear skies and lightening winds, supporting the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of the shift from moderate southeasterly flow to calmer southerly or easterly conditions, which affects boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation, along with minor variations in surface pressure and dewpoint that influence afternoon heating rates. September climatology typically features highs near 18–20°C, but the current stable anticyclonic pattern favors above-average warmth. Updated ensemble runs and observational data from the South African Weather Service will provide the next refinements ahead of the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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