Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a peak daytime high of around 36°C for Chongqing on August 13 under mostly sunny conditions, driving the market-implied 99% probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical subtropical summer patterns in the region, where August highs often reach the mid-30s amid high humidity and limited precipitation. Official model consensus shows minimal deviation expected before evening cooling, with traders assigning negligible odds to extremes above 37°C or below 35°C. A shift in steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or localized convective activity could realistically alter the maximum by 1–2°C, though such changes remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 13?
36°C 98%
37°C 4%
38°C <1%
32°C or below <1%
$57,878 Vol.
$57,878 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
98%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 98%
37°C 4%
38°C <1%
32°C or below <1%
$57,878 Vol.
$57,878 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,088 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,066 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$8,056 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$9,134 Vol.
98%
37°C
$7,932 Vol.
4%
38°C
$5,607 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$4,659 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$2,632 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$3,554 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$2,026 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a peak daytime high of around 36°C for Chongqing on August 13 under mostly sunny conditions, driving the market-implied 99% probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical subtropical summer patterns in the region, where August highs often reach the mid-30s amid high humidity and limited precipitation. Official model consensus shows minimal deviation expected before evening cooling, with traders assigning negligible odds to extremes above 37°C or below 35°C. A shift in steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or localized convective activity could realistically alter the maximum by 1–2°C, though such changes remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$57,878End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a peak daytime high of around 36°C for Chongqing on August 13 under mostly sunny conditions, driving the market-implied 99% probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical subtropical summer patterns in the region, where August highs often reach the mid-30s amid high humidity and limited precipitation. Official model consensus shows minimal deviation expected before evening cooling, with traders assigning negligible odds to extremes above 37°C or below 35°C. A shift in steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or localized convective activity could realistically alter the maximum by 1–2°C, though such changes remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,878End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a peak daytime high of around 36°C for Chongqing on August 13 under mostly sunny conditions, driving the market-implied 99% probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical subtropical summer patterns in the region, where August highs often reach the mid-30s amid high humidity and limited precipitation. Official model consensus shows minimal deviation expected before evening cooling, with traders assigning negligible odds to extremes above 37°C or below 35°C. A shift in steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or localized convective activity could realistically alter the maximum by 1–2°C, though such changes remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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