Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 2?
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 38%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
NEW
$10,047 Vol.
NEW
$10,047 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
38%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 38%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
NEW
$10,047 Vol.
NEW
$10,047 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
$771 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$523 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$621 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$640 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$1,769 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$837 Vol.
41%
102-103°F
$2,802 Vol.
38%
104-105°F
$629 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$561 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$440 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,047End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,047End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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