Recent forecast models from China's meteorological services indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum of 37°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with strong solar heating, light winds, and high humidity sustaining elevated temperatures through afternoon peak hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and minimal cloud interference often push readings to or above seasonal averages near 34–36°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 37°C reflects convergence across official guidance and historical analogs for the date. Unforeseen afternoon thunderstorms or a stronger-than-expected sea breeze could cap the high below this threshold, while clearer skies or delayed precipitation might allow slight exceedance before evening cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,065 Vol.
$37,065 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,065 Vol.
$37,065 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$367 Vol.
No
30°C
$293 Vol.
No
31°C
$431 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,345 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,150 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,744 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,095 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,530 Vol.
No
37°C
$7,731 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$7,588 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$3,791 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from China's meteorological services indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum of 37°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with strong solar heating, light winds, and high humidity sustaining elevated temperatures through afternoon peak hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and minimal cloud interference often push readings to or above seasonal averages near 34–36°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 37°C reflects convergence across official guidance and historical analogs for the date. Unforeseen afternoon thunderstorms or a stronger-than-expected sea breeze could cap the high below this threshold, while clearer skies or delayed precipitation might allow slight exceedance before evening cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$37,065End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from China's meteorological services indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum of 37°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with strong solar heating, light winds, and high humidity sustaining elevated temperatures through afternoon peak hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and minimal cloud interference often push readings to or above seasonal averages near 34–36°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 37°C reflects convergence across official guidance and historical analogs for the date. Unforeseen afternoon thunderstorms or a stronger-than-expected sea breeze could cap the high below this threshold, while clearer skies or delayed precipitation might allow slight exceedance before evening cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,065End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast models from China's meteorological services indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum of 37°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with strong solar heating, light winds, and high humidity sustaining elevated temperatures through afternoon peak hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and minimal cloud interference often push readings to or above seasonal averages near 34–36°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 37°C reflects convergence across official guidance and historical analogs for the date. Unforeseen afternoon thunderstorms or a stronger-than-expected sea breeze could cap the high below this threshold, while clearer skies or delayed precipitation might allow slight exceedance before evening cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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