Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$213,066 Vol.
$213,066 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$213,066 Vol.
$213,066 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$1,194 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,260 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,308 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,410 Vol.
No
32°C
$29,338 Vol.
No
33°C
$36,747 Vol.
No
34°C
$48,984 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$35,252 Vol.
No
36°C
$34,672 Vol.
No
37°C
$11,457 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,444 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$213,066End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$213,066End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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