Recent monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover over Karachi are the main drivers positioning 32°C as the leading outcome for the day's maximum temperature, with 31°C as the primary alternative. Official forecasts indicate isolated thunderstorms and light to moderate rainfall possible on August 17, which typically limits solar heating and caps daytime highs near or slightly above seasonal averages of 31–32°C. Model consensus and ongoing moisture from the active monsoon trough support this narrow range rather than extreme heat, consistent with historical mid-August patterns where convection and humidity moderate peaks. Updated agency guidance and any shifts in precipitation timing remain key variables that could influence final observed values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 17?
32°C 69%
31°C 19%
33°C 11%
30°C 1.4%
$12,292 Vol.
$12,292 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
19%
32°C
69%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 69%
31°C 19%
33°C 11%
30°C 1.4%
$12,292 Vol.
$12,292 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
19%
32°C
69%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover over Karachi are the main drivers positioning 32°C as the leading outcome for the day's maximum temperature, with 31°C as the primary alternative. Official forecasts indicate isolated thunderstorms and light to moderate rainfall possible on August 17, which typically limits solar heating and caps daytime highs near or slightly above seasonal averages of 31–32°C. Model consensus and ongoing moisture from the active monsoon trough support this narrow range rather than extreme heat, consistent with historical mid-August patterns where convection and humidity moderate peaks. Updated agency guidance and any shifts in precipitation timing remain key variables that could influence final observed values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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