Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 80–82 °F on August 2, even amid a regional heat dome. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate afternoon temperatures at representative stations like KLAX or downtown will peak in the low 80s, with limited inland penetration of the warmest air mass due to the marine inversion. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and 30.5 % for 78–79 °F. Recent model runs show minimal warming trend from August 1, while historical August climatology places normal highs near 84 °F, underscoring how coastal moderation is overriding broader above-normal signals from NOAA outlooks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 2?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 2?
80-81°F 54%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 12%
77°F or below 5%
NEW
$15,931 Vol.
NEW
$15,931 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
77°F or below
5%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
54%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 54%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 12%
77°F or below 5%
NEW
$15,931 Vol.
NEW
$15,931 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
77°F or below
$3,413 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$2,168 Vol.
31%
80-81°F
$3,179 Vol.
54%
82-83°F
$1,896 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$919 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$893 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,001 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$402 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$407 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$407 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 80–82 °F on August 2, even amid a regional heat dome. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate afternoon temperatures at representative stations like KLAX or downtown will peak in the low 80s, with limited inland penetration of the warmest air mass due to the marine inversion. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and 30.5 % for 78–79 °F. Recent model runs show minimal warming trend from August 1, while historical August climatology places normal highs near 84 °F, underscoring how coastal moderation is overriding broader above-normal signals from NOAA outlooks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,931End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 80–82 °F on August 2, even amid a regional heat dome. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate afternoon temperatures at representative stations like KLAX or downtown will peak in the low 80s, with limited inland penetration of the warmest air mass due to the marine inversion. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and 30.5 % for 78–79 °F. Recent model runs show minimal warming trend from August 1, while historical August climatology places normal highs near 84 °F, underscoring how coastal moderation is overriding broader above-normal signals from NOAA outlooks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,931End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 80–82 °F on August 2, even amid a regional heat dome. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate afternoon temperatures at representative stations like KLAX or downtown will peak in the low 80s, with limited inland penetration of the warmest air mass due to the marine inversion. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and 30.5 % for 78–79 °F. Recent model runs show minimal warming trend from August 1, while historical August climatology places normal highs near 84 °F, underscoring how coastal moderation is overriding broader above-normal signals from NOAA outlooks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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