Trader consensus has locked onto 39°C as Lucknow’s highest temperature for June 15 because the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and supporting numerical weather models converge on that exact maximum under stable, hot pre-monsoon conditions. Northern India’s seasonal heat, reinforced by a delayed monsoon and clear skies, has produced daytime peaks in the upper 30s across the Indo-Gangetic plain, with Lucknow’s urban heat island effect anchoring readings near this threshold. Ensemble guidance shows tight agreement and low spread, giving traders high confidence ahead of official verification. Only an unforeseen convective cell or last-hour measurement adjustment could realistically shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 15?
39°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$63,864 Vol.
$63,864 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$63,864 Vol.
$63,864 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has locked onto 39°C as Lucknow’s highest temperature for June 15 because the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and supporting numerical weather models converge on that exact maximum under stable, hot pre-monsoon conditions. Northern India’s seasonal heat, reinforced by a delayed monsoon and clear skies, has produced daytime peaks in the upper 30s across the Indo-Gangetic plain, with Lucknow’s urban heat island effect anchoring readings near this threshold. Ensemble guidance shows tight agreement and low spread, giving traders high confidence ahead of official verification. Only an unforeseen convective cell or last-hour measurement adjustment could realistically shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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