Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate Mexico City highs near 27–28°C on August 2, above the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C, as a warm air mass persists over central Mexico’s high-elevation basin. Afternoon convection typical of the wet season often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and showers, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture suggest reduced moderation, supporting the market’s concentration around these values. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 26–27°C during similar early-August setups, while 30°C or higher remains rare due to the 2,240-meter altitude lowering baseline temperatures. Updated short-range guidance in the coming hours will refine resolution odds ahead of official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 2?
27°C 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
18%
27°C
46%
28°C
29%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
$241 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$229 Vol.
1%
24°C
$328 Vol.
2%
25°C
$276 Vol.
7%
26°C
$567 Vol.
18%
27°C
$2,746 Vol.
46%
28°C
$744 Vol.
29%
29°C
$476 Vol.
4%
30°C or higher
$243 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate Mexico City highs near 27–28°C on August 2, above the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C, as a warm air mass persists over central Mexico’s high-elevation basin. Afternoon convection typical of the wet season often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and showers, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture suggest reduced moderation, supporting the market’s concentration around these values. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 26–27°C during similar early-August setups, while 30°C or higher remains rare due to the 2,240-meter altitude lowering baseline temperatures. Updated short-range guidance in the coming hours will refine resolution odds ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,319End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate Mexico City highs near 27–28°C on August 2, above the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C, as a warm air mass persists over central Mexico’s high-elevation basin. Afternoon convection typical of the wet season often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and showers, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture suggest reduced moderation, supporting the market’s concentration around these values. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 26–27°C during similar early-August setups, while 30°C or higher remains rare due to the 2,240-meter altitude lowering baseline temperatures. Updated short-range guidance in the coming hours will refine resolution odds ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,319End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate Mexico City highs near 27–28°C on August 2, above the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C, as a warm air mass persists over central Mexico’s high-elevation basin. Afternoon convection typical of the wet season often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and showers, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture suggest reduced moderation, supporting the market’s concentration around these values. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 26–27°C during similar early-August setups, while 30°C or higher remains rare due to the 2,240-meter altitude lowering baseline temperatures. Updated short-range guidance in the coming hours will refine resolution odds ahead of official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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