Official measurements from the primary NYC weather station confirmed a daily maximum of 86–87°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This reading, taken under standard protocols at a representative urban site, matched National Weather Service and commercial forecast guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours, which showed limited spread among ensemble models due to stable high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover or frontal influence. Historical climatology for mid-August supports highs in this narrow band as typical absent anomalous advection. While near-certain trader consensus reflects the final observational data, resolution criteria tied to a single official source leave minimal room for revision unless post-processing corrections or station-specific anomalies emerge before settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 14?
86-87°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$79,148 Vol.
$79,148 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$79,148 Vol.
$79,148 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
$2,389 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$13,390 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$15,270 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$14,185 Vol.
Yes
88-89°F
$13,098 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$12,330 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$2,495 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$3,861 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$816 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$698 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$617 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the primary NYC weather station confirmed a daily maximum of 86–87°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This reading, taken under standard protocols at a representative urban site, matched National Weather Service and commercial forecast guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours, which showed limited spread among ensemble models due to stable high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover or frontal influence. Historical climatology for mid-August supports highs in this narrow band as typical absent anomalous advection. While near-certain trader consensus reflects the final observational data, resolution criteria tied to a single official source leave minimal room for revision unless post-processing corrections or station-specific anomalies emerge before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$79,148End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the primary NYC weather station confirmed a daily maximum of 86–87°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This reading, taken under standard protocols at a representative urban site, matched National Weather Service and commercial forecast guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours, which showed limited spread among ensemble models due to stable high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover or frontal influence. Historical climatology for mid-August supports highs in this narrow band as typical absent anomalous advection. While near-certain trader consensus reflects the final observational data, resolution criteria tied to a single official source leave minimal room for revision unless post-processing corrections or station-specific anomalies emerge before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79,148End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from the primary NYC weather station confirmed a daily maximum of 86–87°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This reading, taken under standard protocols at a representative urban site, matched National Weather Service and commercial forecast guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours, which showed limited spread among ensemble models due to stable high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover or frontal influence. Historical climatology for mid-August supports highs in this narrow band as typical absent anomalous advection. While near-certain trader consensus reflects the final observational data, resolution criteria tied to a single official source leave minimal room for revision unless post-processing corrections or station-specific anomalies emerge before settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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