**Short-term numerical weather prediction models from Meteo-France, ECMWF, and other agencies show a building high-pressure ridge driving warmer advection and increased solar insolation over northern France, supporting daily maxima in the 28–30 °C range for Paris on June 16.** Recent observations confirm this trend, with highs reaching 30–31 °C on June 14 under mostly clear skies. Ensemble spreads and minor disagreements on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of the diurnal peak introduce uncertainty, reflected in the market’s concentration around 28–30 °C (roughly 77.5 % combined probability) and thinner tails for 27 °C or below and 31 °C+. Resolution hinges on official Paris-Montsouris station readings, where even small forecast revisions in wind or insolation can shift the outcome within the current narrow distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
29°C 34%
30°C 22%
28°C 22%
31°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
34%
30°C
22%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 22%
28°C 22%
31°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
25°C or below
$142 Vol.
1%
26°C
$439 Vol.
4%
27°C
$385 Vol.
7%
28°C
$288 Vol.
22%
29°C
$457 Vol.
34%
30°C
$463 Vol.
22%
31°C
$772 Vol.
9%
32°C
$165 Vol.
3%
33°C
$283 Vol.
1%
34°C
$100 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term numerical weather prediction models from Meteo-France, ECMWF, and other agencies show a building high-pressure ridge driving warmer advection and increased solar insolation over northern France, supporting daily maxima in the 28–30 °C range for Paris on June 16.** Recent observations confirm this trend, with highs reaching 30–31 °C on June 14 under mostly clear skies. Ensemble spreads and minor disagreements on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of the diurnal peak introduce uncertainty, reflected in the market’s concentration around 28–30 °C (roughly 77.5 % combined probability) and thinner tails for 27 °C or below and 31 °C+. Resolution hinges on official Paris-Montsouris station readings, where even small forecast revisions in wind or insolation can shift the outcome within the current narrow distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
音量
$3,615終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term numerical weather prediction models from Meteo-France, ECMWF, and other agencies show a building high-pressure ridge driving warmer advection and increased solar insolation over northern France, supporting daily maxima in the 28–30 °C range for Paris on June 16.** Recent observations confirm this trend, with highs reaching 30–31 °C on June 14 under mostly clear skies. Ensemble spreads and minor disagreements on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of the diurnal peak introduce uncertainty, reflected in the market’s concentration around 28–30 °C (roughly 77.5 % combined probability) and thinner tails for 27 °C or below and 31 °C+. Resolution hinges on official Paris-Montsouris station readings, where even small forecast revisions in wind or insolation can shift the outcome within the current narrow distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,615終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET**Short-term numerical weather prediction models from Meteo-France, ECMWF, and other agencies show a building high-pressure ridge driving warmer advection and increased solar insolation over northern France, supporting daily maxima in the 28–30 °C range for Paris on June 16.** Recent observations confirm this trend, with highs reaching 30–31 °C on June 14 under mostly clear skies. Ensemble spreads and minor disagreements on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of the diurnal peak introduce uncertainty, reflected in the market’s concentration around 28–30 °C (roughly 77.5 % combined probability) and thinner tails for 27 °C or below and 31 °C+. Resolution hinges on official Paris-Montsouris station readings, where even small forecast revisions in wind or insolation can shift the outcome within the current narrow distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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