**Trader consensus has locked in 74-75°F as the highest temperature recorded in Seattle on August 16, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This reflects the official maximum temperature observation from the National Weather Service’s Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) station, which serves as the standard reference for such resolution criteria. Mid-August climatology in the region typically features highs near 76–78°F under marine influence and weakening ridging, and recent model guidance plus on-site measurements aligned precisely with this range rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the summer. The near-certainty stems from the final verified daily summary released shortly after the observation window closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-hoc data correction or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 16?
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,325 Vol.
$47,325 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,325 Vol.
$47,325 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
71°F or below
$4,180 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$22,328 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,100 Vol.
100%
76-77°F
$5,421 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$5,150 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,655 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,315 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$313 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$335 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 74-75°F as the highest temperature recorded in Seattle on August 16, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This reflects the official maximum temperature observation from the National Weather Service’s Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) station, which serves as the standard reference for such resolution criteria. Mid-August climatology in the region typically features highs near 76–78°F under marine influence and weakening ridging, and recent model guidance plus on-site measurements aligned precisely with this range rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the summer. The near-certainty stems from the final verified daily summary released shortly after the observation window closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-hoc data correction or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$47,325End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 74-75°F as the highest temperature recorded in Seattle on August 16, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This reflects the official maximum temperature observation from the National Weather Service’s Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) station, which serves as the standard reference for such resolution criteria. Mid-August climatology in the region typically features highs near 76–78°F under marine influence and weakening ridging, and recent model guidance plus on-site measurements aligned precisely with this range rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the summer. The near-certainty stems from the final verified daily summary released shortly after the observation window closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-hoc data correction or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,325End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked in 74-75°F as the highest temperature recorded in Seattle on August 16, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This reflects the official maximum temperature observation from the National Weather Service’s Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) station, which serves as the standard reference for such resolution criteria. Mid-August climatology in the region typically features highs near 76–78°F under marine influence and weakening ridging, and recent model guidance plus on-site measurements aligned precisely with this range rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the summer. The near-certainty stems from the final verified daily summary released shortly after the observation window closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-hoc data correction or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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