Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance converge on a high in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Seattle on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest flow. Upper-level ridging has sustained warmer conditions, producing afternoon readings that have already approached or reached the mid-80s at area stations. This supports the overwhelming market consensus on the 84-85°F bin. Outliers remain possible if onshore marine push accelerates or if official thermometer readings at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field register one degree lower due to microclimate effects or measurement timing, though current observations and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
84-85°F 99.5%
86-87°F <1%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
$24,901 Vol.
$24,901 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 99.5%
86-87°F <1%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
$24,901 Vol.
$24,901 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$315 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$3,844 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,307 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$4,608 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$5,812 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$2,695 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,752 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$339 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$312 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$324 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance converge on a high in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Seattle on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest flow. Upper-level ridging has sustained warmer conditions, producing afternoon readings that have already approached or reached the mid-80s at area stations. This supports the overwhelming market consensus on the 84-85°F bin. Outliers remain possible if onshore marine push accelerates or if official thermometer readings at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field register one degree lower due to microclimate effects or measurement timing, though current observations and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$24,901End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance converge on a high in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Seattle on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest flow. Upper-level ridging has sustained warmer conditions, producing afternoon readings that have already approached or reached the mid-80s at area stations. This supports the overwhelming market consensus on the 84-85°F bin. Outliers remain possible if onshore marine push accelerates or if official thermometer readings at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field register one degree lower due to microclimate effects or measurement timing, though current observations and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,901End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance converge on a high in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Seattle on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest flow. Upper-level ridging has sustained warmer conditions, producing afternoon readings that have already approached or reached the mid-80s at area stations. This supports the overwhelming market consensus on the 84-85°F bin. Outliers remain possible if onshore marine push accelerates or if official thermometer readings at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field register one degree lower due to microclimate effects or measurement timing, though current observations and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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