Updated forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers across Shanghai on August 12, 2026, which suppress solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 27°C according to official guidance. These conditions align with regional atmospheric patterns favoring moisture and reduced insolation, consistent with historical analogs for mid-August under similar synoptic setups. Trader consensus at 27°C with near-certainty reflects real-time integration of observational data and model consensus on limited warming potential. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow greater surface heating and push readings higher, though current steering patterns and humidity profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$149,854 Vol.
$149,854 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$149,854 Vol.
$149,854 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$6,263 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,821 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,533 Vol.
No
27°C
$38,582 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$35,695 Vol.
No
29°C
$21,727 Vol.
No
30°C
$21,367 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,906 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,173 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,414 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,373 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers across Shanghai on August 12, 2026, which suppress solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 27°C according to official guidance. These conditions align with regional atmospheric patterns favoring moisture and reduced insolation, consistent with historical analogs for mid-August under similar synoptic setups. Trader consensus at 27°C with near-certainty reflects real-time integration of observational data and model consensus on limited warming potential. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow greater surface heating and push readings higher, though current steering patterns and humidity profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$149,854End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers across Shanghai on August 12, 2026, which suppress solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 27°C according to official guidance. These conditions align with regional atmospheric patterns favoring moisture and reduced insolation, consistent with historical analogs for mid-August under similar synoptic setups. Trader consensus at 27°C with near-certainty reflects real-time integration of observational data and model consensus on limited warming potential. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow greater surface heating and push readings higher, though current steering patterns and humidity profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$149,854End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Updated forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers across Shanghai on August 12, 2026, which suppress solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 27°C according to official guidance. These conditions align with regional atmospheric patterns favoring moisture and reduced insolation, consistent with historical analogs for mid-August under similar synoptic setups. Trader consensus at 27°C with near-certainty reflects real-time integration of observational data and model consensus on limited warming potential. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow greater surface heating and push readings higher, though current steering patterns and humidity profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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