Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon-influenced moisture on August 14, which are expected to limit daytime heating and position the maximum temperature near 30–31°C. These conditions align with typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs but deviate downward from clearer-sky peaks due to reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Official model guidance from regional agencies highlights steering patterns favoring organized convection, introducing modest uncertainty around exact timing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these verifiable atmospheric factors and short-range forecast stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 14?
31°C 39%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
NEW
$20,178 Vol.
NEW
$20,178 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
24%
31°C
39%
32°C
20%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
NEW
$20,178 Vol.
NEW
$20,178 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$756 Vol.
1%
27°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$192 Vol.
4%
29°C
$264 Vol.
9%
30°C
$895 Vol.
24%
31°C
$3,378 Vol.
39%
32°C
$3,364 Vol.
20%
33°C
$1,492 Vol.
6%
34°C
$1,227 Vol.
3%
35°C
$4,236 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$3,902 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon-influenced moisture on August 14, which are expected to limit daytime heating and position the maximum temperature near 30–31°C. These conditions align with typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs but deviate downward from clearer-sky peaks due to reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Official model guidance from regional agencies highlights steering patterns favoring organized convection, introducing modest uncertainty around exact timing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these verifiable atmospheric factors and short-range forecast stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$20,178End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon-influenced moisture on August 14, which are expected to limit daytime heating and position the maximum temperature near 30–31°C. These conditions align with typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs but deviate downward from clearer-sky peaks due to reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Official model guidance from regional agencies highlights steering patterns favoring organized convection, introducing modest uncertainty around exact timing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these verifiable atmospheric factors and short-range forecast stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,178End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon-influenced moisture on August 14, which are expected to limit daytime heating and position the maximum temperature near 30–31°C. These conditions align with typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs but deviate downward from clearer-sky peaks due to reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Official model guidance from regional agencies highlights steering patterns favoring organized convection, introducing modest uncertainty around exact timing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these verifiable atmospheric factors and short-range forecast stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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