Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, after the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor earlier that week. Powell publicly stated he would step down from the chairmanship on that date while remaining a Board governor for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures on the institution. This transition follows standard term limits and Senate confirmation procedures rather than any forced removal. Traders assessing markets on Powell’s departure as chair focus on the timing of Warsh’s swearing-in and any interim arrangements, with the outcome now hinging on whether the formal handover meets the specified resolution window. No other major policy or personnel developments have altered the sequence in recent days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$6,466,278 Vol.
March 31
No
May 14
No
May 15
Yes
May 16
Yes
May 31
Yes
June 30
Yes
$6,466,278 Vol.
March 31
No
May 14
No
May 15
Yes
May 16
Yes
May 31
Yes
June 30
Yes
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, after the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor earlier that week. Powell publicly stated he would step down from the chairmanship on that date while remaining a Board governor for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures on the institution. This transition follows standard term limits and Senate confirmation procedures rather than any forced removal. Traders assessing markets on Powell’s departure as chair focus on the timing of Warsh’s swearing-in and any interim arrangements, with the outcome now hinging on whether the formal handover meets the specified resolution window. No other major policy or personnel developments have altered the sequence in recent days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions