Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicate a southerly flow advecting milder, moist air into the Netherlands, with overnight lows for August 26 expected near 16–18 °C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated dew points that limit radiative cooling. This pattern departs from the climatological average minimum of roughly 13 °C for the date. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact timing of clearing and wind shifts, keeping probabilities closely matched among 13 °C, 16 °C, and 19 °C outcomes. Official updates from KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
19°C 82%
13°C 79%
20°C 78%
12°C or below 54%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
54%
13°C
79%
14°C
28%
15°C
23%
16°C
49%
17°C
27%
18°C
46%
19°C
82%
20°C
78%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
54%
19°C 82%
13°C 79%
20°C 78%
12°C or below 54%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
54%
13°C
$0 Vol.
79%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
46%
19°C
$0 Vol.
82%
20°C
$0 Vol.
78%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicate a southerly flow advecting milder, moist air into the Netherlands, with overnight lows for August 26 expected near 16–18 °C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated dew points that limit radiative cooling. This pattern departs from the climatological average minimum of roughly 13 °C for the date. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact timing of clearing and wind shifts, keeping probabilities closely matched among 13 °C, 16 °C, and 19 °C outcomes. Official updates from KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicate a southerly flow advecting milder, moist air into the Netherlands, with overnight lows for August 26 expected near 16–18 °C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated dew points that limit radiative cooling. This pattern departs from the climatological average minimum of roughly 13 °C for the date. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact timing of clearing and wind shifts, keeping probabilities closely matched among 13 °C, 16 °C, and 19 °C outcomes. Official updates from KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicate a southerly flow advecting milder, moist air into the Netherlands, with overnight lows for August 26 expected near 16–18 °C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated dew points that limit radiative cooling. This pattern departs from the climatological average minimum of roughly 13 °C for the date. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact timing of clearing and wind shifts, keeping probabilities closely matched among 13 °C, 16 °C, and 19 °C outcomes. Official updates from KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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