**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological data indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Ankara on August 26, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity.** This setup favors modest radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 32–34°C, but persistent high pressure and dry conditions limit deeper drops. Ensemble spreads in short-range models show limited downside risk below 16–17°C, consistent with climatological norms for late August at Ankara’s elevation (~890 m). Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 13–18°C outcomes because recent model runs have shown only minor cooling adjustments, with upcoming 48-hour guidance from official agencies likely to confirm or refine the overnight low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
14°C 86%
17°C 86%
19°C 86%
18°C 85%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
13°C or below
47%
14°C
86%
15°C
45%
16°C
27%
17°C
86%
18°C
85%
19°C
86%
20°C
14%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
41%
14°C 86%
17°C 86%
19°C 86%
18°C 85%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
14°C
$0 Vol.
86%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
86%
18°C
$0 Vol.
85%
19°C
$0 Vol.
86%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$130 Vol.
5%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological data indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Ankara on August 26, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity.** This setup favors modest radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 32–34°C, but persistent high pressure and dry conditions limit deeper drops. Ensemble spreads in short-range models show limited downside risk below 16–17°C, consistent with climatological norms for late August at Ankara’s elevation (~890 m). Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 13–18°C outcomes because recent model runs have shown only minor cooling adjustments, with upcoming 48-hour guidance from official agencies likely to confirm or refine the overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$130End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological data indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Ankara on August 26, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity.** This setup favors modest radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 32–34°C, but persistent high pressure and dry conditions limit deeper drops. Ensemble spreads in short-range models show limited downside risk below 16–17°C, consistent with climatological norms for late August at Ankara’s elevation (~890 m). Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 13–18°C outcomes because recent model runs have shown only minor cooling adjustments, with upcoming 48-hour guidance from official agencies likely to confirm or refine the overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological data indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Ankara on August 26, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity.** This setup favors modest radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 32–34°C, but persistent high pressure and dry conditions limit deeper drops. Ensemble spreads in short-range models show limited downside risk below 16–17°C, consistent with climatological norms for late August at Ankara’s elevation (~890 m). Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 13–18°C outcomes because recent model runs have shown only minor cooling adjustments, with upcoming 48-hour guidance from official agencies likely to confirm or refine the overnight low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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