Persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow are limiting overnight radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range, with official IMD outlooks and global model consensus pointing to minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 30. High humidity near 85–95% and light winds further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 26°C while capping upside potential above 28°C. Recent station data show overnight lows of 26–27°C amid similar conditions, and traders appear to weigh minor forecast divergences in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing as the key variables separating the closely matched 26–28°C outcomes. Updated NWP runs and IMD briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
27°C 50%
29°C 50%
24°C 49%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
10%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
28%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 50%
29°C 50%
24°C 49%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$33 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$6 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
50%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow are limiting overnight radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range, with official IMD outlooks and global model consensus pointing to minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 30. High humidity near 85–95% and light winds further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 26°C while capping upside potential above 28°C. Recent station data show overnight lows of 26–27°C amid similar conditions, and traders appear to weigh minor forecast divergences in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing as the key variables separating the closely matched 26–28°C outcomes. Updated NWP runs and IMD briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$54End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow are limiting overnight radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range, with official IMD outlooks and global model consensus pointing to minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 30. High humidity near 85–95% and light winds further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 26°C while capping upside potential above 28°C. Recent station data show overnight lows of 26–27°C amid similar conditions, and traders appear to weigh minor forecast divergences in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing as the key variables separating the closely matched 26–28°C outcomes. Updated NWP runs and IMD briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow are limiting overnight radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range, with official IMD outlooks and global model consensus pointing to minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 30. High humidity near 85–95% and light winds further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 26°C while capping upside potential above 28°C. Recent station data show overnight lows of 26–27°C amid similar conditions, and traders appear to weigh minor forecast divergences in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing as the key variables separating the closely matched 26–28°C outcomes. Updated NWP runs and IMD briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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