Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Miami's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle in the 80–82°F range, aligning with the market's closely matched leading bins (82–83°F at 33.5%, 80–81°F at 31.5%). Persistent high dew points near 78°F, light easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this humid subtropical environment. Model consensus shows only modest overnight drops from daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with August climatology where the average low is 77.5°F. Traders weigh uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling toward 78–79°F against the low probability of stronger suppression pushing values higher. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 30?
78-79°F 33%
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 27%
76-77°F 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
3%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 33%
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 27%
76-77°F 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$111 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$20 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
24%
78-79°F
$54 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
31%
82-83°F
$251 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$231 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$76 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$35 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$55 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Miami's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle in the 80–82°F range, aligning with the market's closely matched leading bins (82–83°F at 33.5%, 80–81°F at 31.5%). Persistent high dew points near 78°F, light easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this humid subtropical environment. Model consensus shows only modest overnight drops from daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with August climatology where the average low is 77.5°F. Traders weigh uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling toward 78–79°F against the low probability of stronger suppression pushing values higher. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$862End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Miami's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle in the 80–82°F range, aligning with the market's closely matched leading bins (82–83°F at 33.5%, 80–81°F at 31.5%). Persistent high dew points near 78°F, light easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this humid subtropical environment. Model consensus shows only modest overnight drops from daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with August climatology where the average low is 77.5°F. Traders weigh uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling toward 78–79°F against the low probability of stronger suppression pushing values higher. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$862End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Miami's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle in the 80–82°F range, aligning with the market's closely matched leading bins (82–83°F at 33.5%, 80–81°F at 31.5%). Persistent high dew points near 78°F, light easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this humid subtropical environment. Model consensus shows only modest overnight drops from daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with August climatology where the average low is 77.5°F. Traders weigh uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling toward 78–79°F against the low probability of stronger suppression pushing values higher. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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