Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 10–13°C under a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear skies and light southerly winds. Radiative cooling overnight will drive the daily low, yet southerly flow advects milder air that limits deeper drops compared to typical late-August climatology. Trader sentiment remains split near 47% for 13°C or higher versus 46.5% for 3°C or below because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees within the narrow 8–12°C band. Upcoming high-resolution runs from national weather services will clarify resolution thresholds before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
13°C or higher 94%
3°C or below 92%
8°C 26%
9°C 26%
3°C or below
92%
4°C
25%
5°C
25%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
94%
13°C or higher 94%
3°C or below 92%
8°C 26%
9°C 26%
3°C or below
92%
4°C
25%
5°C
25%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 10–13°C under a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear skies and light southerly winds. Radiative cooling overnight will drive the daily low, yet southerly flow advects milder air that limits deeper drops compared to typical late-August climatology. Trader sentiment remains split near 47% for 13°C or higher versus 46.5% for 3°C or below because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees within the narrow 8–12°C band. Upcoming high-resolution runs from national weather services will clarify resolution thresholds before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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