Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure, aligning closely with historical August lows near 11°C while reflecting cooler recent patterns. This consensus across multiple models underpins the market's near-certain 9°C outcome, as traders incorporate verified observational baselines and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited variability. Deviations remain possible if rapid clear-sky radiational cooling or localized urban heat effects alter readings at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
9°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$4,240 Vol.
$4,240 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$4,240 Vol.
$4,240 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
$197 Vol.
No
7°C
$135 Vol.
No
8°C
$1,004 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,130 Vol.
Yes
10°C
$195 Vol.
No
11°C
$188 Vol.
No
12°C
$233 Vol.
No
13°C
$30 Vol.
No
14°C
$117 Vol.
No
15°C
$115 Vol.
No
16°C or higher
$897 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure, aligning closely with historical August lows near 11°C while reflecting cooler recent patterns. This consensus across multiple models underpins the market's near-certain 9°C outcome, as traders incorporate verified observational baselines and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited variability. Deviations remain possible if rapid clear-sky radiational cooling or localized urban heat effects alter readings at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,240End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure, aligning closely with historical August lows near 11°C while reflecting cooler recent patterns. This consensus across multiple models underpins the market's near-certain 9°C outcome, as traders incorporate verified observational baselines and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited variability. Deviations remain possible if rapid clear-sky radiational cooling or localized urban heat effects alter readings at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,240End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure, aligning closely with historical August lows near 11°C while reflecting cooler recent patterns. This consensus across multiple models underpins the market's near-certain 9°C outcome, as traders incorporate verified observational baselines and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited variability. Deviations remain possible if rapid clear-sky radiational cooling or localized urban heat effects alter readings at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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