**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 19–21 °C for Zhengzhou on 29 August 2026, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under prevailing subtropical monsoon flow.** Daytime highs are expected around 30–32 °C with light northeasterly winds and high humidity, allowing radiational cooling overnight to produce the anticipated low without significant advection of cooler air. Historical climatology places the August average low near 22 °C, so the current positioning reflects model consensus on modest cooling from recent days rather than an anomalous event. Trader consensus at 99.6 % for 19 °C aligns with this evidence-based range; realistic challenges include a stronger-than-expected nocturnal inversion or revised observational data from local stations that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below 1.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$2,960 Vol.
$2,960 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below 1.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$2,960 Vol.
$2,960 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 19–21 °C for Zhengzhou on 29 August 2026, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under prevailing subtropical monsoon flow.** Daytime highs are expected around 30–32 °C with light northeasterly winds and high humidity, allowing radiational cooling overnight to produce the anticipated low without significant advection of cooler air. Historical climatology places the August average low near 22 °C, so the current positioning reflects model consensus on modest cooling from recent days rather than an anomalous event. Trader consensus at 99.6 % for 19 °C aligns with this evidence-based range; realistic challenges include a stronger-than-expected nocturnal inversion or revised observational data from local stations that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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