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icon for Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

Robert Charles 57%

Jonathan Bush 18.2%

Ben Midgley 13%

Garrett Mason 11%

Polymarket

$33,649 Vol.

Robert Charles 57%

Jonathan Bush 18.2%

Ben Midgley 13%

Garrett Mason 11%

Polymarket

$33,649 Vol.

Robert Charles

$6,505 Vol.

57%

Jonathan Bush

$15,521 Vol.

18%

Ben Midgley

$2,450 Vol.

13%

Garrett Mason

$1,246 Vol.

11%

Ken Capron

$1,693 Vol.

2%

David Jones

$2,039 Vol.

1%

Owen McCarthy

$1,602 Vol.

1%

Robert Wessels

$1,572 Vol.

1%

James Libby

$1,021 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles holds the strongest position in the Maine Republican primary for governor thanks to his background as a former assistant U.S. secretary of state and consistent leads in nonpartisan polling. Recent straw polls and party surveys have shown him ahead or near the top of a crowded field that includes healthcare executive Jonathan Bush, fitness executive Ben Midgley, and former Senate majority leader Garrett Mason. The June 9 contest uses ranked-choice voting, prompting several candidates to announce second-choice alliances, including Robert Wessels directing support toward Bush and Midgley pairing with David Jones. Charles has maintained organizational advantages and avoided some recent debates while the other contenders compete for visibility and endorsements. Traders reflect these structural and polling factors in the current market prices.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$33,649
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles holds the strongest position in the Maine Republican primary for governor thanks to his background as a former assistant U.S. secretary of state and consistent leads in nonpartisan polling. Recent straw polls and party surveys have shown him ahead or near the top of a crowded field that includes healthcare executive Jonathan Bush, fitness executive Ben Midgley, and former Senate majority leader Garrett Mason. The June 9 contest uses ranked-choice voting, prompting several candidates to announce second-choice alliances, including Robert Wessels directing support toward Bush and Midgley pairing with David Jones. Charles has maintained organizational advantages and avoided some recent debates while the other contenders compete for visibility and endorsements. Traders reflect these structural and polling factors in the current market prices.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$33,649
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Charles" at 57%, followed by "Jonathan Bush" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $33.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Robert Charles" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jonathan Bush" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.