Lisa Beare holds the leading position in the Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election market due to her incumbency since 2017 and recent cabinet roles under the BC NDP. Nominations closed in early October 2026, confirming her matchup against Conservative Doug Morneau, CentreBC's Jordan Simmons, and OneBC's Susan Einarsson for the October 24 vote. Advance polls open October 16, with the riding viewed as competitive based on prior narrow margins and current projections. Minor-party candidacies may fragment opposition support, while overlapping municipal elections on October 17 add local turnout variables. Trader consensus reflects Beare's established local profile and the NDP's organizational edge in the Fraser Valley riding.