Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, a seat with an R+16 partisan lean centered on the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. She won reelection in 2024 by nearly 37 points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries. McClain faces minimal primary opposition while Democrat Ray Pooley is the presumptive general-election nominee with limited fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus on Republican victory reflects the district’s consistent voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and absence of competitive challengers or major recent shifts in local or national conditions. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-09 House Election Winner
MI-09 House Election Winner
$17,678 Обс.
$17,678 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$17,678 Обс.
$17,678 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,333 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$4,395 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, a seat with an R+16 partisan lean centered on the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. She won reelection in 2024 by nearly 37 points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries. McClain faces minimal primary opposition while Democrat Ray Pooley is the presumptive general-election nominee with limited fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus on Republican victory reflects the district’s consistent voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and absence of competitive challengers or major recent shifts in local or national conditions. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,678Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, a seat with an R+16 partisan lean centered on the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. She won reelection in 2024 by nearly 37 points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries. McClain faces minimal primary opposition while Democrat Ray Pooley is the presumptive general-election nominee with limited fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus on Republican victory reflects the district’s consistent voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and absence of competitive challengers or major recent shifts in local or national conditions. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,678Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, a seat with an R+16 partisan lean centered on the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. She won reelection in 2024 by nearly 37 points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries. McClain faces minimal primary opposition while Democrat Ray Pooley is the presumptive general-election nominee with limited fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus on Republican victory reflects the district’s consistent voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and absence of competitive challengers or major recent shifts in local or national conditions. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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