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icon for Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Elections·Main Election

Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Elections·Main Election

Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place

Ciro Nogueira 44%

Cloves José 44%

Danniel Rocha 44%

Dionisio Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NEW

Ciro Nogueira 44%

Cloves José 44%

Danniel Rocha 44%

Dionisio Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ciro Nogueira

Ciro Nogueira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Cloves José

Cloves José

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Danniel Rocha

Danniel Rocha

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Dionisio Carvalho

Dionisio Carvalho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Francinaldo Leão

Francinaldo Leão

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Jardenya Bezerra

Jardenya Bezerra

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Jorge Lopes

Jorge Lopes

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Julio Cesar

Julio Cesar

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marcelo Castro

Marcelo Castro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Maria Madalena Nunes

Maria Madalena Nunes

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Missionário Evandro Craveiro

Missionário Evandro Craveiro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Pastor Sena

Pastor Sena

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Pedro Laurentino

Pedro Laurentino

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tiago Junqueira

Tiago Junqueira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Toinho Dufrango

Toinho Dufrango

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Major Paulo Roberto

Major Paulo Roberto

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Irmão Evandro Marques

Irmão Evandro Marques

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Antônio José Lira

Antônio José Lira

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Alexandre Mariano

Alexandre Mariano

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Antônio Barros

Antônio Barros

$0 Vol.

37%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's Piauí Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no single candidate has established a clear lead. Recent polls, including AtlasIntel and Data Max surveys from early August, show Marcelo Castro (MDB) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) in technical ties with Júlio César (PSD) and others, driven by a crowded slate of more than 20 registered contenders from multiple parties. This dynamic stems from state-level party conventions confirming candidacies in late July and early August, alongside voter indecision in a contest using plurality rules for first-place positioning. Developments such as further polling releases, coalition negotiations, or shifts in turnout among key regional bases could separate frontrunners before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's Piauí Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no single candidate has established a clear lead. Recent polls, including AtlasIntel and Data Max surveys from early August, show Marcelo Castro (MDB) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) in technical ties with Júlio César (PSD) and others, driven by a crowded slate of more than 20 registered contenders from multiple parties. This dynamic stems from state-level party conventions confirming candidacies in late July and early August, alongside voter indecision in a contest using plurality rules for first-place positioning. Developments such as further polling releases, coalition negotiations, or shifts in turnout among key regional bases could separate frontrunners before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ciro Nogueira" at 44%, followed by "Cloves José" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Ciro Nogueira" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cloves José" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.