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icon for Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner

Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner

icon for Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner

Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner

Derek Lunsford 47%

Martin Fitzwater 40%

William Bonac 40%

Jordan Hutchinson 40%

Polymarket
NEW

Derek Lunsford 47%

Martin Fitzwater 40%

William Bonac 40%

Jordan Hutchinson 40%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Derek Lunsford

Derek Lunsford

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Martin Fitzwater

Martin Fitzwater

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for William Bonac

William Bonac

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Jordan Hutchinson

Jordan Hutchinson

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Behrooz Tabani Abarghani

Behrooz Tabani Abarghani

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for James Hollingshead

James Hollingshead

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Regan Grimes

Regan Grimes

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Patrick Moore

Patrick Moore

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Edward Kargbo

Edward Kargbo

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Hadi Choopan

Hadi Choopan

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Chinedu Obiekea

Chinedu Obiekea

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Michal Krizanek

Michal Krizanek

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Andrea Presti

Andrea Presti

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Shaun Clarida

Shaun Clarida

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Leandro Sencini Peres

Leandro Sencini Peres

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Sasan Heirati

Sasan Heirati

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Damian Kuffel

Damian Kuffel

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Mohamed Foda

Mohamed Foda

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Nick Walker

Nick Walker

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Samson Dauda

Samson Dauda

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Sergei Danilov

Sergei Danilov

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Tonio Burton

Tonio Burton

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Quinton Eriya

Quinton Eriya

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Brandon Curry

Brandon Curry

$0 Vol.

39%

The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title. In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner. If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open just weeks away in Las Vegas, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no single athlete dominates. Defending champion Derek Lunsford sits slightly ahead at 47% implied probability, buoyed by his 2025 title and recent training updates, yet faces intense pressure from proven contenders like Chinedu Obiekea, Samson Dauda, Hadi Choopan, Nick Walker, and Martin Fitzwater. Expert predictions split sharply on who will peak best, with debates centering on muscle balance, conditioning, and stage presence. The fragmented odds stem from 24-plus qualified athletes, subjective judging criteria, and late-prep variables that can shift momentum before the September 24-27 showdown.

The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title.

In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner.

If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 26, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://mrolympia.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title. In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner. If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title. In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner. If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open just weeks away in Las Vegas, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no single athlete dominates. Defending champion Derek Lunsford sits slightly ahead at 47% implied probability, buoyed by his 2025 title and recent training updates, yet faces intense pressure from proven contenders like Chinedu Obiekea, Samson Dauda, Hadi Choopan, Nick Walker, and Martin Fitzwater. Expert predictions split sharply on who will peak best, with debates centering on muscle balance, conditioning, and stage presence. The fragmented odds stem from 24-plus qualified athletes, subjective judging criteria, and late-prep variables that can shift momentum before the September 24-27 showdown.

The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title.

In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner.

If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 26, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://mrolympia.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title. In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner. If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Derek Lunsford" at 47%, followed by "Martin Fitzwater" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner" is "Derek Lunsford" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Martin Fitzwater" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.