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icon for Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

icon for Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

14% chance
Polymarket

$11,799 Vol.

14% chance
Polymarket

$11,799 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Sassou Nguesso secured re-election to a fifth term in March 2026 with nearly 95 percent of the vote amid limited opposition participation and was sworn in the following month. This outcome locked in a new five-year mandate that extends well beyond the December 2026 cutoff, with the ruling party maintaining firm control over state institutions and security forces. No significant legislative challenges, military shifts, or public health events have emerged in recent months to alter this trajectory. Traders price the low likelihood of removal by year-end on the absence of credible succession mechanisms or external pressures capable of displacing the incumbent during the initial phase of his current term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,799
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Sassou Nguesso secured re-election to a fifth term in March 2026 with nearly 95 percent of the vote amid limited opposition participation and was sworn in the following month. This outcome locked in a new five-year mandate that extends well beyond the December 2026 cutoff, with the ruling party maintaining firm control over state institutions and security forces. No significant legislative challenges, military shifts, or public health events have emerged in recent months to alter this trajectory. Traders price the low likelihood of removal by year-end on the absence of credible succession mechanisms or external pressures capable of displacing the incumbent during the initial phase of his current term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,799
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 14% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 14¢, the market collectively assigns a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?" has generated $11.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?" is 14% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.