Denis Sassou Nguesso’s March 2026 re-election with 94.9 percent of the vote and April inauguration for a five-year term extending to 2031 underpin the strong trader view that he will remain in office through December 31, 2026. The ruling Congolese Party of Labour maintains dominance over parliament, security forces, and electoral administration, while opposition candidates were limited and major figures sidelined. A 2015 constitutional revision eliminated prior term and age restrictions, enabling this mandate, which official statements describe as his final one. No major political shifts, legislative changes, or institutional challenges have emerged since the vote to alter this trajectory in the remaining months of 2026. The market’s implied probability reflects the continuity of executive control and the absence of credible near-term succession pressures.