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icon for NYC Mayor # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?

20-39 99.2%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$22,447 Vol.

20-39 99.2%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$22,447 Vol.

<20

$804 Vol.

No

20-39

$8,640 Vol.

Yes

40-59

$6,154 Vol.

No

60-79

$831 Vol.

No

80-99

$1,083 Vol.

No

100-119

$786 Vol.

No

120-139

$850 Vol.

No

140-159

$690 Vol.

No

160-179

$807 Vol.

No

180-199

$1,028 Vol.

No

200+

$773 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account serves as the primary channel for municipal announcements, policy updates, and public outreach on issues including housing, education, and emergency preparedness. The September 4–11 window overlapped with the 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks, Rosh Hashanah observances, and African Immigrant Heritage Month, each generating multiple official statements and remembrances that aligned with the mayor’s established posting cadence. Baseline weekly volume on the account, combined with these scheduled commemorations, produced trader consensus around the 20–39 bracket. A surge of late-breaking developments, such as a major incident prompting additional security or policy statements, or a deliberate reduction in routine posting, could still shift the final count outside this range before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$22,447
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account serves as the primary channel for municipal announcements, policy updates, and public outreach on issues including housing, education, and emergency preparedness. The September 4–11 window overlapped with the 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks, Rosh Hashanah observances, and African Immigrant Heritage Month, each generating multiple official statements and remembrances that aligned with the mayor’s established posting cadence. Baseline weekly volume on the account, combined with these scheduled commemorations, produced trader consensus around the 20–39 bracket. A surge of late-breaking developments, such as a major incident prompting additional security or policy statements, or a deliberate reduction in routine posting, could still shift the final count outside this range before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$22,447
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NYC Mayor # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?" has generated $22.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?" is "20-39" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.