AfD's sustained lead in recent state polling for the September 6, 2026, Landtag election has produced the current trader consensus. The most recent Infratest dimap survey placed the party at 41 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and all other competitors below 13 percent, reflecting eastern German voter priorities on migration, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with established parties. This gap has widened modestly over the past month and aligns with AfD's record national strength in the region. With the election still months away, market pricing incorporates the possibility that turnout shifts, late campaign developments, or unexpected events could narrow the margin before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 94%
CDU 5.8%
The Greens <1%
BSW <1%
$703,067 Vol.
$703,067 Vol.

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

The Greens
1%

BSW
1%

FDP
<1%

The Left
<1%

SPD
<1%
AfD 94%
CDU 5.8%
The Greens <1%
BSW <1%
$703,067 Vol.
$703,067 Vol.

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

The Greens
1%

BSW
1%

FDP
<1%

The Left
<1%

SPD
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD's sustained lead in recent state polling for the September 6, 2026, Landtag election has produced the current trader consensus. The most recent Infratest dimap survey placed the party at 41 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and all other competitors below 13 percent, reflecting eastern German voter priorities on migration, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with established parties. This gap has widened modestly over the past month and aligns with AfD's record national strength in the region. With the election still months away, market pricing incorporates the possibility that turnout shifts, late campaign developments, or unexpected events could narrow the margin before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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