Skip to main content
icon for Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

Marsha Blackburn 90%

John Rose 7%

Monty Fritts 4.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Marsha Blackburn 90%

John Rose 7%

Monty Fritts 4.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Marsha Blackburn

$2,506 Vol.

90%

John Rose

$2,119 Vol.

7%

Monty Fritts

$1,986 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee Republican primary for governor due to consistent polling advantages exceeding 50 points among likely GOP voters and endorsements from key state party figures ahead of the August 6 contest to succeed term-limited Governor Bill Lee. Recent developments include a May poll showing her at 56 percent support, with U.S. Representative John Rose and State Representative Monty Fritts trailing at 10 percent and 5 percent respectively, alongside legislative action advancing new congressional districts aligned with her priorities. Blackburn has built substantial campaign resources and a broad organizational edge, while her challengers focus on narrower grassroots appeals on issues like taxes and border security without closing the gap in surveys. Trader consensus reflects these structural strengths in a state where Republican primary voters have historically favored candidates with established statewide name recognition.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$6,611
End Date
Aug 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee Republican primary for governor due to consistent polling advantages exceeding 50 points among likely GOP voters and endorsements from key state party figures ahead of the August 6 contest to succeed term-limited Governor Bill Lee. Recent developments include a May poll showing her at 56 percent support, with U.S. Representative John Rose and State Representative Monty Fritts trailing at 10 percent and 5 percent respectively, alongside legislative action advancing new congressional districts aligned with her priorities. Blackburn has built substantial campaign resources and a broad organizational edge, while her challengers focus on narrower grassroots appeals on issues like taxes and border security without closing the gap in surveys. Trader consensus reflects these structural strengths in a state where Republican primary voters have historically favored candidates with established statewide name recognition.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$6,611
End Date
Aug 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

icon for Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

87%
icon for Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?

Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?

95%
icon for Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

96%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marsha Blackburn" at 90%, followed by "John Rose" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Marsha Blackburn" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Rose" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.