Jerri Green commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 6, 2026, propelled by the May 7 Beacon Poll showing her at 14% support among 400 likely Democratic primary voters—edging Kevin Lee McCants amid 62% undecided—bolstered by her name recognition as Memphis City Council District 2 member and former Shelby County policy advisor. Active campaigning on affordability, healthcare expansion, and education funding further solidifies her edge in Republican-dominant Tennessee, where low Democratic turnout favors the most prominent nominee. Challengers like Carnita Atwater (prior candidate) trail due to limited visibility and fundraising, though endorsements or shifts could influence before early voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJerri Green 86%
Carnita Atwater 7%
Tim Cyr 2.1%
Adam Kurtz 1.2%
$54,413 Vol.
$54,413 Vol.
Jerri Green
86%
Carnita Atwater
7%
Tim Cyr
2%
Adam Kurtz
1%
Kevin Lee McCants
<1%
Jerri Green 86%
Carnita Atwater 7%
Tim Cyr 2.1%
Adam Kurtz 1.2%
$54,413 Vol.
$54,413 Vol.
Jerri Green
86%
Carnita Atwater
7%
Tim Cyr
2%
Adam Kurtz
1%
Kevin Lee McCants
<1%
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jerri Green commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 6, 2026, propelled by the May 7 Beacon Poll showing her at 14% support among 400 likely Democratic primary voters—edging Kevin Lee McCants amid 62% undecided—bolstered by her name recognition as Memphis City Council District 2 member and former Shelby County policy advisor. Active campaigning on affordability, healthcare expansion, and education funding further solidifies her edge in Republican-dominant Tennessee, where low Democratic turnout favors the most prominent nominee. Challengers like Carnita Atwater (prior candidate) trail due to limited visibility and fundraising, though endorsements or shifts could influence before early voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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