Skip to main content
icon for Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

icon for Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

9% chance
Polymarket
NEW
9% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Félix Tshisekedi is serving his second constitutional term after winning re-election in December 2023, with that mandate set to run until December 2028. No official statements, legislative actions, or institutional pressures have emerged to suggest an early exit or resignation before the end of 2026. Ongoing military operations against M23 rebels in the eastern provinces have fueled recent public discussion about possible postponement of the scheduled 2028 vote, yet these security developments do not alter the timeline or stability of the current presidential term. Opposition criticism has focused mainly on proposals for constitutional revision after 2028, leaving the near-term outlook for incumbency continuity largely unchanged.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,616
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Félix Tshisekedi is serving his second constitutional term after winning re-election in December 2023, with that mandate set to run until December 2028. No official statements, legislative actions, or institutional pressures have emerged to suggest an early exit or resignation before the end of 2026. Ongoing military operations against M23 rebels in the eastern provinces have fueled recent public discussion about possible postponement of the scheduled 2028 vote, yet these security developments do not alter the timeline or stability of the current presidential term. Opposition criticism has focused mainly on proposals for constitutional revision after 2028, leaving the near-term outlook for incumbency continuity largely unchanged.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,616
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

14%
icon for Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%
icon for Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 9% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 9¢, the market collectively assigns a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?" is 9% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.