The Democratic primary runoff for Texas' 33rd Congressional District, set for May 26 after neither candidate reached a majority in the March 3 primary, shows trader consensus favoring Colin Allred over incumbent Julie Johnson due to Allred's first-place finish with roughly 45 percent of the vote and his prior representation of overlapping North Texas territory. Redistricting created a heavily Democratic, Latino-majority seat that drew both the former congressman—who shifted from a Senate bid—and Johnson, who succeeded him in the prior district lines. Recent campaign exchanges have centered on immigration voting records, with early voting opening May 18. Minor candidates Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez, who received single-digit shares initially, have aligned with Allred, consolidating support ahead of the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedColin Allred 80%
Julie Johnson 17%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$75,693 Vol.
$75,693 Vol.
Colin Allred
80%
Julie Johnson
17%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 80%
Julie Johnson 17%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$75,693 Vol.
$75,693 Vol.
Colin Allred
80%
Julie Johnson
17%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic primary runoff for Texas' 33rd Congressional District, set for May 26 after neither candidate reached a majority in the March 3 primary, shows trader consensus favoring Colin Allred over incumbent Julie Johnson due to Allred's first-place finish with roughly 45 percent of the vote and his prior representation of overlapping North Texas territory. Redistricting created a heavily Democratic, Latino-majority seat that drew both the former congressman—who shifted from a Senate bid—and Johnson, who succeeded him in the prior district lines. Recent campaign exchanges have centered on immigration voting records, with early voting opening May 18. Minor candidates Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez, who received single-digit shares initially, have aligned with Allred, consolidating support ahead of the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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