A senior U.S. State Department delegation held in-person talks in Havana around mid-April 2026—the first such senior visit since 2016—pressing Cuban officials on political reforms, prisoner releases, and internet access amid Havana's energy crisis exacerbated by U.S. oil import restrictions; Cuba described the discussions as respectful while seeking sanctions relief. Tensions escalated with a May 1 executive order imposing new sanctions on Cuban military and regime figures for repression and threats to U.S. national security. President Trump's May 12 remarks noting Cuba's requests for help and prioritizing diplomacy signal potential for further bilateral engagement, though traders assess low odds for another qualifying in-person diplomatic meeting on U.S.-Cuba relations—publicly acknowledged and focused on negotiations—before May 31 deadline, amid historical mistrust and strict resolution criteria excluding remote or incidental contacts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
$59,094 Vol.
May 31, 2026
May 31
37%
$59,094 Vol.
May 31
$31,880 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.A senior U.S. State Department delegation held in-person talks in Havana around mid-April 2026—the first such senior visit since 2016—pressing Cuban officials on political reforms, prisoner releases, and internet access amid Havana's energy crisis exacerbated by U.S. oil import restrictions; Cuba described the discussions as respectful while seeking sanctions relief. Tensions escalated with a May 1 executive order imposing new sanctions on Cuban military and regime figures for repression and threats to U.S. national security. President Trump's May 12 remarks noting Cuba's requests for help and prioritizing diplomacy signal potential for further bilateral engagement, though traders assess low odds for another qualifying in-person diplomatic meeting on U.S.-Cuba relations—publicly acknowledged and focused on negotiations—before May 31 deadline, amid historical mistrust and strict resolution criteria excluding remote or incidental contacts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$59,094End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.A senior U.S. State Department delegation held in-person talks in Havana around mid-April 2026—the first such senior visit since 2016—pressing Cuban officials on political reforms, prisoner releases, and internet access amid Havana's energy crisis exacerbated by U.S. oil import restrictions; Cuba described the discussions as respectful while seeking sanctions relief. Tensions escalated with a May 1 executive order imposing new sanctions on Cuban military and regime figures for repression and threats to U.S. national security. President Trump's May 12 remarks noting Cuba's requests for help and prioritizing diplomacy signal potential for further bilateral engagement, though traders assess low odds for another qualifying in-person diplomatic meeting on U.S.-Cuba relations—publicly acknowledged and focused on negotiations—before May 31 deadline, amid historical mistrust and strict resolution criteria excluding remote or incidental contacts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$59,094End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A senior U.S. State Department delegation held in-person talks in Havana around mid-April 2026—the first such senior visit since 2016—pressing Cuban officials on political reforms, prisoner releases, and internet access amid Havana's energy crisis exacerbated by U.S. oil import restrictions; Cuba described the discussions as respectful while seeking sanctions relief. Tensions escalated with a May 1 executive order imposing new sanctions on Cuban military and regime figures for repression and threats to U.S. national security. President Trump's May 12 remarks noting Cuba's requests for help and prioritizing diplomacy signal potential for further bilateral engagement, though traders assess low odds for another qualifying in-person diplomatic meeting on U.S.-Cuba relations—publicly acknowledged and focused on negotiations—before May 31 deadline, amid historical mistrust and strict resolution criteria excluding remote or incidental contacts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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