Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a slight trader consensus edge at 53% in Utah's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage—over $2.4 million cash-on-hand—despite trailing state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee at the April 25 GOP nominating convention, where she secured 61.5% support, forcing a June 23 primary that risks GOP resources and unity. Democrats unified early behind Peter Crosby, who clinched their convention outright, canceling the primary and positioning him strongly against minor-party challengers. Court-ordered redistricting packed Democrats into UT-01, enhancing UT-02's Republican lean per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating, though absent polls, traders weigh midterm national headwinds and historical competitiveness—Maloy's narrow 2024 win—in this closely contested battleground.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
21%
Republican Party
57%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$195 Vol.
21%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a slight trader consensus edge at 53% in Utah's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage—over $2.4 million cash-on-hand—despite trailing state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee at the April 25 GOP nominating convention, where she secured 61.5% support, forcing a June 23 primary that risks GOP resources and unity. Democrats unified early behind Peter Crosby, who clinched their convention outright, canceling the primary and positioning him strongly against minor-party challengers. Court-ordered redistricting packed Democrats into UT-01, enhancing UT-02's Republican lean per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating, though absent polls, traders weigh midterm national headwinds and historical competitiveness—Maloy's narrow 2024 win—in this closely contested battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$195End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a slight trader consensus edge at 53% in Utah's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage—over $2.4 million cash-on-hand—despite trailing state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee at the April 25 GOP nominating convention, where she secured 61.5% support, forcing a June 23 primary that risks GOP resources and unity. Democrats unified early behind Peter Crosby, who clinched their convention outright, canceling the primary and positioning him strongly against minor-party challengers. Court-ordered redistricting packed Democrats into UT-01, enhancing UT-02's Republican lean per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating, though absent polls, traders weigh midterm national headwinds and historical competitiveness—Maloy's narrow 2024 win—in this closely contested battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$195End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a slight trader consensus edge at 53% in Utah's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage—over $2.4 million cash-on-hand—despite trailing state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee at the April 25 GOP nominating convention, where she secured 61.5% support, forcing a June 23 primary that risks GOP resources and unity. Democrats unified early behind Peter Crosby, who clinched their convention outright, canceling the primary and positioning him strongly against minor-party challengers. Court-ordered redistricting packed Democrats into UT-01, enhancing UT-02's Republican lean per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating, though absent polls, traders weigh midterm national headwinds and historical competitiveness—Maloy's narrow 2024 win—in this closely contested battleground.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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