Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Cat" at 98% implied probability, "Bunker" and "White House Faith Office" at 94%, and "Nuke" at 91% likelihood of President Trump verbally mentioning them in public audio or video before May 31, reflecting his unscripted rhetorical style seen in early May appearances. A May 1 rally in The Villages, Florida, focused on policy for seniors; a May 2 speech invoked animals like dogs, bears, lions, giraffes, and sharks without hitting listed terms; and May 6-8 White House remarks plus a May 12 press gaggle yielded no resolutions but reinforced patterns of historical references, foreign policy warnings, and colorful language. No mentions have triggered yes outcomes yet, with odds elevated by anticipated events like the May 17 National Prayer gathering at the National Mall and a potential Fox News interview post-Xi summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$37,816 Vol.
Barack Hussein Obamacare
33%
Bunker
57%
Egghead
26%
Iwo Jima
52%
Golden Dome
67%
Skedaddle
33%
Pizza
56%
Prediction Market
26%
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
25%
Braggadocious
53%
Bitcoin
43%
Epstein
53%
Asshole
16%
Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer
23%
Favorite Chart
53%
Big Bang
32%
Darth Vader
14%
White House Faith Office
51%
Christmas
55%
Nuke
72%
Cat
62%
America Last
70%
Neville / Chamberlain
37%
$37,816 Vol.
Barack Hussein Obamacare
33%
Bunker
57%
Egghead
26%
Iwo Jima
52%
Golden Dome
67%
Skedaddle
33%
Pizza
56%
Prediction Market
26%
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
25%
Braggadocious
53%
Bitcoin
43%
Epstein
53%
Asshole
16%
Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer
23%
Favorite Chart
53%
Big Bang
32%
Darth Vader
14%
White House Faith Office
51%
Christmas
55%
Nuke
72%
Cat
62%
America Last
70%
Neville / Chamberlain
37%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Cat" at 98% implied probability, "Bunker" and "White House Faith Office" at 94%, and "Nuke" at 91% likelihood of President Trump verbally mentioning them in public audio or video before May 31, reflecting his unscripted rhetorical style seen in early May appearances. A May 1 rally in The Villages, Florida, focused on policy for seniors; a May 2 speech invoked animals like dogs, bears, lions, giraffes, and sharks without hitting listed terms; and May 6-8 White House remarks plus a May 12 press gaggle yielded no resolutions but reinforced patterns of historical references, foreign policy warnings, and colorful language. No mentions have triggered yes outcomes yet, with odds elevated by anticipated events like the May 17 National Prayer gathering at the National Mall and a potential Fox News interview post-Xi summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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