Despite President Trump's campaign pledges to lower the corporate tax rate from its current 21% level—potentially to 15% for domestic manufacturers—no such legislation has advanced through Congress in the administration's first 16 months. The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act prioritized permanent extensions of 2017 TCJA individual provisions, no-tax exemptions on tips and overtime pay, and pass-through deductions, while sidestepping corporate rate cuts amid deficit concerns and GOP holdouts wary of adding trillions to the debt. Recent April tax receipts declined due to prior reforms, but fiscal hawks prioritize spending reductions and tariff revenues over new cuts. With 2026 midterms looming and no bill in committee, trader consensus reflects entrenched barriers to passage before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,669 Vol.
$15,669 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,669 Vol.
$15,669 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Despite President Trump's campaign pledges to lower the corporate tax rate from its current 21% level—potentially to 15% for domestic manufacturers—no such legislation has advanced through Congress in the administration's first 16 months. The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act prioritized permanent extensions of 2017 TCJA individual provisions, no-tax exemptions on tips and overtime pay, and pass-through deductions, while sidestepping corporate rate cuts amid deficit concerns and GOP holdouts wary of adding trillions to the debt. Recent April tax receipts declined due to prior reforms, but fiscal hawks prioritize spending reductions and tariff revenues over new cuts. With 2026 midterms looming and no bill in committee, trader consensus reflects entrenched barriers to passage before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,669End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Despite President Trump's campaign pledges to lower the corporate tax rate from its current 21% level—potentially to 15% for domestic manufacturers—no such legislation has advanced through Congress in the administration's first 16 months. The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act prioritized permanent extensions of 2017 TCJA individual provisions, no-tax exemptions on tips and overtime pay, and pass-through deductions, while sidestepping corporate rate cuts amid deficit concerns and GOP holdouts wary of adding trillions to the debt. Recent April tax receipts declined due to prior reforms, but fiscal hawks prioritize spending reductions and tariff revenues over new cuts. With 2026 midterms looming and no bill in committee, trader consensus reflects entrenched barriers to passage before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$15,669End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite President Trump's campaign pledges to lower the corporate tax rate from its current 21% level—potentially to 15% for domestic manufacturers—no such legislation has advanced through Congress in the administration's first 16 months. The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act prioritized permanent extensions of 2017 TCJA individual provisions, no-tax exemptions on tips and overtime pay, and pass-through deductions, while sidestepping corporate rate cuts amid deficit concerns and GOP holdouts wary of adding trillions to the debt. Recent April tax receipts declined due to prior reforms, but fiscal hawks prioritize spending reductions and tariff revenues over new cuts. With 2026 midterms looming and no bill in committee, trader consensus reflects entrenched barriers to passage before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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