**Major corporate tax relief was already enacted in July 2025 through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which Trump signed into law.** This legislation made permanent the 21% corporate rate from the 2017 TCJA, restored full bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, adjusted interest deduction rules, and added other business incentives—delivering substantial ongoing benefits without a further headline rate reduction. With these changes now in effect and many provisions made indefinite, no additional legislative vehicle for deeper rate cuts appears scheduled before 2027. Congressional focus has shifted to implementation, deficit impacts, and other priorities, while the existing framework already provides the primary tax relief traders anticipated. The 93.5% implied probability for “No” reflects this completed action and the absence of near-term catalysts for another round of statutory cuts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7% chance
$15,994 Vol.
$15,994 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% chance
$15,994 Vol.
$15,994 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**Major corporate tax relief was already enacted in July 2025 through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which Trump signed into law.** This legislation made permanent the 21% corporate rate from the 2017 TCJA, restored full bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, adjusted interest deduction rules, and added other business incentives—delivering substantial ongoing benefits without a further headline rate reduction.
With these changes now in effect and many provisions made indefinite, no additional legislative vehicle for deeper rate cuts appears scheduled before 2027. Congressional focus has shifted to implementation, deficit impacts, and other priorities, while the existing framework already provides the primary tax relief traders anticipated. The 93.5% implied probability for “No” reflects this completed action and the absence of near-term catalysts for another round of statutory cuts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,994End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**Major corporate tax relief was already enacted in July 2025 through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which Trump signed into law.** This legislation made permanent the 21% corporate rate from the 2017 TCJA, restored full bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, adjusted interest deduction rules, and added other business incentives—delivering substantial ongoing benefits without a further headline rate reduction.
With these changes now in effect and many provisions made indefinite, no additional legislative vehicle for deeper rate cuts appears scheduled before 2027. Congressional focus has shifted to implementation, deficit impacts, and other priorities, while the existing framework already provides the primary tax relief traders anticipated. The 93.5% implied probability for “No” reflects this completed action and the absence of near-term catalysts for another round of statutory cuts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$15,994End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Major corporate tax relief was already enacted in July 2025 through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which Trump signed into law.** This legislation made permanent the 21% corporate rate from the 2017 TCJA, restored full bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, adjusted interest deduction rules, and added other business incentives—delivering substantial ongoing benefits without a further headline rate reduction. With these changes now in effect and many provisions made indefinite, no additional legislative vehicle for deeper rate cuts appears scheduled before 2027. Congressional focus has shifted to implementation, deficit impacts, and other priorities, while the existing framework already provides the primary tax relief traders anticipated. The 93.5% implied probability for “No” reflects this completed action and the absence of near-term catalysts for another round of statutory cuts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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