Republican congressional majorities and the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended key TCJA business provisions such as 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing while leaving the 21% corporate rate unchanged. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and competing priorities including tariffs, spending restraint, and deficit concerns dominating the legislative calendar, no additional rate-reduction legislation has advanced. Traders assign only a 6.5% probability to further cuts by December 31, 2026, reflecting these procedural constraints and the absence of recent signals that a standalone corporate rate bill will reach the floor before the resolution window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7% chance
$15,994 Vol.
$15,994 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$15,994 Vol.
$15,994 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Republican congressional majorities and the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended key TCJA business provisions such as 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing while leaving the 21% corporate rate unchanged. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and competing priorities including tariffs, spending restraint, and deficit concerns dominating the legislative calendar, no additional rate-reduction legislation has advanced. Traders assign only a 6.5% probability to further cuts by December 31, 2026, reflecting these procedural constraints and the absence of recent signals that a standalone corporate rate bill will reach the floor before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,994End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Republican congressional majorities and the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended key TCJA business provisions such as 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing while leaving the 21% corporate rate unchanged. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and competing priorities including tariffs, spending restraint, and deficit concerns dominating the legislative calendar, no additional rate-reduction legislation has advanced. Traders assign only a 6.5% probability to further cuts by December 31, 2026, reflecting these procedural constraints and the absence of recent signals that a standalone corporate rate bill will reach the floor before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$15,994End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican congressional majorities and the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended key TCJA business provisions such as 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing while leaving the 21% corporate rate unchanged. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and competing priorities including tariffs, spending restraint, and deficit concerns dominating the legislative calendar, no additional rate-reduction legislation has advanced. Traders assign only a 6.5% probability to further cuts by December 31, 2026, reflecting these procedural constraints and the absence of recent signals that a standalone corporate rate bill will reach the floor before the resolution window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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